Manchester United vs Chelsea 5/16/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Manchester United (10-17-9) vs Chelsea (18-9-9)

Game Info: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 03:15 pm ET (Stamford Bridge)

Betting Odds: Chelsea -275 / Manchester United +650 -- Over/Under: 3.25

Alright, so Manchester United's heading to Stamford Bridge on Friday, May 16th, 2025, for a Week 37 Premier League clash against Chelsea. Forget the usual match preview – we're diving straight into the juicy stuff: where the smart money's at. Get ready for our Manchester United vs. Chelsea prediction, where we'll dissect the odds and pinpoint the bets you won't want to miss.

Total Points Facts

• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in each of the last seven EPL matches between Chelsea and Manchester United.

• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in four of Manchester United's last five EPL matches at Stamford Bridge.

• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in four of Chelsea's last five EPL home matches against Manchester United.

• The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in nine of Chelsea's last 12 EPL home matches.

The Chelsea Team Preview!

So, Chelsea's sitting pretty in 5th place, neck and neck with Aston Villa with 63 points. Their record's a solid 18 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, and they're a force to be reckoned with at home, boasting an 11-2-5 record. They just stumbled with a 2-0 loss away to Newcastle, which snapped a sweet five-game winning streak. But don't let that fool you – they've been on fire at Stamford Bridge, racking up three straight wins and going 9-1-1 in their last eleven home games.

These guys know how to find the back of the net, averaging a cool 1.72 goals per game (that's 7th best in the league!), and they're tight on defense, only letting in an average of 1.19 goals per game (tied for third best!). Keep an eye on Cole Palmer – he's their main man with 15 goals and 8 assists. Nicolas Jackson isn't far behind with 10 goals either.

Why Chelsea Could Win!

• Chelsea has won eight of its last nine EPL home matches following a league loss.

• Chelsea has won eight of its last nine EPL matches at Stamford Bridge following a league loss.

The Manchester United

Team Preview!

Now, let's talk about Man U. They're down in 16th place with 39 points, but hey, at least they've officially dodged relegation! Their record isn't exactly stellar at 10 wins, 17 losses, and 9 draws, and their away form is a bit shaky with a 4-8-6 record. They just took a 2-0 hit at home against West Ham. Interestingly, their recent games have been seeing some goals – the 'Over' has hit in 3 of their last 4 overall and 4 of their last 5 on the road.

Looking at their stats, they're averaging 1.17 goals per game (that's 16th in the league), and they're conceding an average of 1.47 (tied for 12th). Bruno Fernandes is their main guy with 8 goals and 9 assists, while Amad Diallo Traoré has chipped in with 7 goals.

Why Manchester United Could Win!

• Manchester United has won three of its last four EPL Friday night matches.

• Manchester United has won eight of its last 12 EPL night matches following a league loss.

The Manchester United vs Chelsea Match Prediction!

THE PICK: Man United +1.5

Considering their recent history, which includes a 1-1 draw earlier this season and a whopping six draws in their last ten encounters (with three of those at Stamford Bridge), backing Manchester United with a +1.5 Asian Handicap looks like a smart move. Even though Chelsea comes in as heavy -275 home favorites with Champions League aspirations and United might have one eye on the Europa League final, United hasn't lost to Chelsea by two or more goals in the league since 2016. With a trend of close games and both teams finding the net in their last seven meetings, grabbing United at +1.5 offers significant value against those steep Chelsea odds.