Maximize Your Betting Profits with DINGERZ: Top Home Run Prop Bets for August 2nd!
- Lee Shipley
- Aug 2
- 4 min read
Updated: Aug 12
Welcome to The DINGERZ Article! We have been on fire with our Dinger Bets all season and look to keep this run moving to the very end! Here are my top home run prop recommendations for Saturday, August 2nd! I've been diving deep into today's MLB matchups, analyzing everything from player stats to pitcher-batter dynamics and even ballpark factors. It's all powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon, so you know the research is solid. Just a heads-up, these bets are high-risk, high-reward, but that's what makes them so much fun!
Today's Top Home Run Hitters!
The Warming Bernabel Bomb (Colorado Rockies)
Warming Bernabel (Colorado Rockies) - Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +750 BetMGM
Analysis: Warming Bernabel is benefiting from the thin air at Coors Field. He has been in excellent form recently, hitting the over on his home run prop in 60% of his last five games and 50% of his season games. Bernabel has also hit a home run in his only game against the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2025 and in his only home game in 2025. This shows a knack for power in favorable situations. While he hasn't faced today's Pirates pitcher, Paul Skenes, his recent power surge and the extremely homer-friendly conditions at Coors Field provide a strong statistical foundation for this pick.
The Giancarlo Stanton Bomb (New York Yankees)
Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees) - Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +375 BetMGM
Analysis: Giancarlo Stanton presents another compelling home run opportunity. He has a strong track record against Eury Pérez, hitting a home run in one of his two career plate appearances against the Marlins' right-hander. Stanton has hit the over on his home run prop in 50% of his last ten games and 40% of his last five. He also recorded a home run in his sole appearance against the Marlins in 2025. While Pérez's recent performance has been stellar, the direct head-to-head data for Stanton against him is too significant to ignore, making this a strong value pick.
The Yandy Diaz Bomb (Tampa Bay Rays)
Home Run Prop: Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
Line: 0.5 HR
Odds: +450 BetMGM
Reasoning for Home Run Potential: Yandy Diaz's home run hitting has been inconsistent recently, with a 0% hit rate in his last five games and 20% in his last ten games for this prop. His season hit rate for home runs is 16.19% (17 HRs in 105 games).
Looking at his matchup against Dodgers starting pitcher Blake Snell, Diaz has faced him 12 times in his career, recording 2 hits but 0 home runs. This suggests Snell has been effective at keeping Diaz in the park. Unfortunately, specific park factor data for George M. Steinbrenner Field was not available in my research.
Given Diaz's recent form and his historical struggles to hit home runs against Blake Snell, this prop carries a higher risk. While the odds are appealing, the statistical indicators do not strongly support a home run in this particular matchup.
Today's Long Shot Hitters!
The Anthony Volpe Bomb (New York Yankees)
Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees) - Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +1000 Fanduel
Analysis: Anthony Volpe faces Miami Marlins pitcher Eury Pérez today. While Pérez has been in excellent form recently, boasting a 1.29 ERA and 0.64 WHIP over his last five starts, Volpe has shown a remarkable ability to hit for power against him in their limited career matchups. In just two plate appearances against Pérez, Volpe has already launched one home run, demonstrating a strong individual matchup. Volpe has also been hitting the ball well recently, hitting the over on his home run prop in 60% of his last five games and 50% of his last ten. He also hit a home run in his only game against the Marlins in 2025. Despite loanDepot Park being slightly less homer-friendly (HR factor 89), Volpe's direct success against Pérez makes this a high-upside play.
The Adam Frazier Bomb (Kansas City Royals)
Home Run Prop: Adam Frazier Over 0.5 Home Runs
Line: 0.5 HR
Odds: +1100 Fanduel
Reasoning for Home Run Potential: Adam Frazier's overall season home run rate is low, with only 4 home runs in 87 games, resulting in a 4.6% hit rate for this prop. His recent form also shows a low hit rate, hitting the over in 20% of his last five games and 10% of his last ten games.
However, the intriguing aspect here is his historical matchup against Blue Jays' starting pitcher Max Scherzer. In 25 career plate appearances against Scherzer, Frazier has hit 1 home run.
While it's just one, it demonstrates he has the capability to take Scherzer deep. His .304 batting average and .609 slugging percentage against Scherzer are also notable. Rogers Centre has a neutral overall park factor (100), but it's slightly favorable for home runs with a park factor of 103. This means it's 3% more conducive to home runs than the average park.
Considering the high odds, this is a long-shot bet, but the historical success against Scherzer provides a glimmer of hope for Frazier to connect for a big fly.
The Colson Montgomery Bomb (Chicago White Sox)
Colson Montgomery (Chicago White Sox) - Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +550 BetRivers
Analysis: Colson Montgomery and the Chicago White Sox visit Angel Stadium, which has a favorable Home Run Factor of 113. Montgomery has been consistent in hitting the over on his home run prop, doing so in 60% of his last five games and 60% of his last ten games. He also hit a home run in his only game against the Los Angeles Angels in 2025. While there's no specific career data for Montgomery against Angels pitcher Kyle Hendricks, his strong recent performance and the homer-friendly park conditions make him a solid choice for a long ball today.
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