Today’s Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/11/25
- Lee Shipley
- 1 day ago
- 2 min read
Ready to dive into the long ball action? Look no further! This article spotlights the top home run prop bets brimming with value for today's MLB games on May 11, 2025. We've meticulously crunched the numbers, analyzing recent player performance, key matchup statistics, and the latest betting odds to bring you these high-potential recommendations. For each pick, you'll find a comprehensive breakdown of our reasoning, along with a direct link to place your bet with ease.
The Alex Bregman Bomb (Boston RedSox)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+450) at ESPN Bet
Analysis: Bregman has a 19.51% season hit rate for home runs and has shown flashes of power against weaker pitching staffs. Kansas City’s pitching struggles this season make this a solid value pick
The Bo Naylor Bomb (Cleveland Guardians)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+700) at DraftKings
Analysis: Naylor has a 16.67% hit rate for home runs at home this season. While his overall numbers are modest, the high odds and his ability to perform in clutch situations make this a worthwhile longshot bet.
The Yandy Díaz Bomb
(Tampa Bay Rays)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+500) at DraftKings
Analysis: Díaz has been consistent at home, with a 22.22% hit rate for home runs in Tampa this season. His matchup against Milwaukee’s pitching staff, which has struggled with power hitters, provides a favorable opportunity for him to go deep.
The Homerun Summary
Yandy Díaz: ⭐⭐ (Low confidence due to poor recent form and lack of success against the Brewers).
Alex Bregman: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High confidence due to favorable matchup and solid power numbers).
Bo Naylor: ⭐⭐ (Low confidence due to poor recent form and lack of success against the Phillies).