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Today’s Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/18/25

Today’s Top MLB Dinger Props The Outlet Sports Ventures

Get ready for some long bombs! Today, May 18, 2025, promises exciting opportunities for home run prop bets across Major League Baseball, and Pine Sports AI has crunched the numbers to bring you the top recommendations. Leveraging batter versus pitcher history, high slugging percentages, and the latest player trends, these carefully selected picks come with in-depth analysis to help you make informed decisions. For added convenience, each prediction includes a direct link to place your bet and get in on the action.


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The Daulton Varsho Bomb (Toronto Blue Jays)

Varsho Pine Sports HR
  • Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425) at ESPN Bet

  • Analysis:

    • Varsho has a season over-hit percentage of 41.67%, with a strong 44.44% hit rate at home.

    • He has hit the over in 50% of his last 5 games and has a solid track record against the Tigers, hitting 50% in their last two matchups.

    • With a season mean of 0.5 home runs per game, Varsho is a solid pick for a home run today.


The José Ramírez Bomb (Cleveland Guardians)

Jose Ramirez Pine sports home run
  • Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+320) at FanDuel

  • Analysis:

    • Ramírez has hit the over in 60% of his last 5 games, showing a recent surge in power.

    • Against the Reds, he has a 50% hit rate in their last two matchups, with a season mean of 0.21 home runs per game.

    • While his overall season numbers are modest, his recent form and matchup make him a strong candidate for a home run.


The Taylor Ward Bomb

(Los Angeles Angels)

Ward Pine Sports HR
  • Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+425) at Pinnacle

  • Analysis:

    • Ward has hit the over in 60% of his last 5 games and 50% of his last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.

    • He has a season mean of 0.24 home runs per game and a 29.17% hit rate on the road.

    • With a 50% hit rate against the Dodgers in their last two matchups, Ward is a solid underdog pick.


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Personal Preference Hitters!


  1. Nolan Arenado HR +700

  2. Alex Verdugo HR +850

  3. Kerry Carpenter HR +320

  4. Harrison Bader HR +750

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