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Exciting Home Run Prop Bets for Today’s MLB Games

Updated: Jun 4

So many of us sit and wonder who’s going to send one deep in today's MLB games. Well, you can now forget the guesswork and those gut feelings! We’re diving headfirst into the most exciting home run prop bets, meticulously chosen to give you an edge. This isn't just random predictions. We’re talking about a powerful combination of insights from Pine Sports’ cutting-edge AI, JaXon, and the seasoned eye of an MLB analytics expert from The OutLet Sports Ventures. Get ready to hit it out of the park with us, because these hitters are today’s best options to go deep!


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Featured Home Run Prop Bets


The Matt Olson Bomb (Atlanta Braves)


Matt Olson HR Pine Sports
  • Odds: +450

  • Book: FanDuel

  • Analysis: Olson has hit the over on home runs in 60% of his last five games. He boasts a .500 slugging percentage this season. While he hasn’t homered against the Phillies in 2025, his power against right-handed pitching makes him a solid pick.


The Shohei Ohtani Bomb (Los Angeles Dodgers)


Shohei Ohtani Pine Sports
  • Odds: +240

  • Book: FanDuel

  • Analysis: Ohtani is in excellent form, hitting .295 with 19 home runs this season. He has a 33.33% hit rate for home runs in his last 20 games. He has already homered against Cleveland this season. His elite power metrics, including a 96.0 mph average exit velocity, make him a strong candidate to go deep tonight.


The Gunnar Henderson Bomb (Baltimore Orioles)


Henderson HR Pine Sports
  • Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Baltimore Orioles

  • Prop Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs

  • Odds: +700

  • Best Book: DraftKings


Trends & Analysis


  • Recent Performance: Henderson has struggled to hit home runs recently. He has a 0% hit rate over his last 5 and 10 games. Over his last 15 games, he has hit the over just 6.67% of the time, and 20% over his last 20 games.

  • Season Stats: Henderson has hit 7 home runs in 49 games this season, equating to a 14.29% hit rate.


  • Opponent Matchup: Against the Cardinals in 2025, Henderson has not hit a home run in one prior matchup. In 2024, he hit one home run in three games against them (33.33%).


  • Home Field Advantage: At home in 2025, Henderson has a 23.81% hit rate for home runs, slightly better than his overall season average.


Why the Over Could Hit


While Henderson’s recent trends are not favorable, his odds of +700 reflect the long-shot nature of this prop. If you’re looking for a high-reward bet, consider his home field performance and occasional power against the Cardinals in the past. This could make this bet worth a small wager.


Free Picks The Outlet SV Text

The Honorable Mentions!


Cal Raleigh (Seattle Mariners)


  • Matchup: vs. Washington Nationals

  • Odds: +255 at FanDuel


Isaac Paredes (Houston Astros)


  • Matchup: vs. Oakland Athletics

  • Odds: +475 at ESPN Bet


Abraham Toro (Boston Red Sox)


Toro has a 60% hit rate for home runs in his last 5 games and faces a struggling Milwaukee pitching staff.


Conclusion


With these insights and prop bets, you can feel more confident making your picks for today’s MLB games. Betting on home runs can be thrilling, especially with the right information. Place your bets wisely and enjoy the games!

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