Today’s WNBA Best Bets & Player Props for 7/16/25
- Lee Shipley
- 4 days ago
- 3 min read
Ready to dive into today's WNBA action? I've got my top bets and player props all lined up for you. This isn't just guesswork – all the data is powered by Pine Sports AI, and each pick is carefully selected by expert analysts at The Outlet Sports Ventures. We believe in a perfect balance of highly advanced technology and professional human intuition to bring you the best possible predictions!
Today’s Best Bets & Props!
Minnesota Lynx -10.0 vs. Phoenix Mercury
The Pick: Minnesota Lynx -10.0 (-114)
Book Link: BetRivers
Analysis: The Minnesota Lynx are in a prime position to dominate this matchup. They boast an impeccable 11-0 record at home this season and hold the best net rating and overall record in the WNBA. The Phoenix Mercury, on the other hand, are severely hampered by injuries, with key players Satou Sabally and Kahleah Copper both sidelined. This significant depletion of the Mercury's roster, combined with the Lynx's strong home-court advantage and consistent performance, makes the Lynx a confident pick to cover this spread.
Las Vegas Aces -5.5 vs.
Dallas Wings!
The Pick: Las Vegas Aces -5.5 (-115)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
Analysis: The Dallas Wings are facing an uphill battle tonight, with a lengthy injury list that includes crucial players like Arike Ogunbowale, Maddy Siegrist, DiJonai Carrington, and Tyasha Harris. While the Las Vegas Aces' A'ja Wilson is listed as day-to-day, even if she were to miss the game, the Wings' roster is so severely compromised that the Aces should still be able to secure a comfortable victory and cover the spread. The sheer depth of injuries for Dallas creates a significant mismatch in favor of Las Vegas.
Jackie Young (Las Vegas Aces) - Over 7.5 Assists + Rebounds
Line: Over 7.5 Assists + Rebounds (-135)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
Analysis: Jackie Young has been consistently exceeding this line, averaging 8.0 assists + rebounds over her last 5 games (80% hit rate) and an impressive 9.0 over her last 10 games (90% hit rate). She also hit the over in her only game against the Dallas Wings this season, recording 8.0 assists + rebounds. While the Wings' defense against this position is ranked 5th, indicating a strong defensive unit, Young's recent form and the Wings' extensive injury list could lead to more offensive opportunities and increased involvement for Aces players.
Kelsey Mitchell (Indiana Fever) - Over 18.5 Points
Line: Over 18.5 Points (-115)
Book Link: Fanduel
Analysis: Kelsey Mitchell has been on a scoring tear, averaging 19.2 points over her last 5 games (80% hit rate) and 21.9 points over her last 10 games (90% hit rate). A significant factor in this game is the day-to-day status of Caitlin Clark, who re-aggravated a groin injury and has not played in back-to-back games this season (this is a back-to-back for the Fever). If Clark is out or limited, Mitchell will undoubtedly shoulder a much larger scoring load. Although the New York Liberty's defense against guards is ranked 4th, Mitchell's recent hot streak and potential for increased volume make this an appealing pick.
Sabrina Ionescu (New York Liberty) - Over 3.5 Rebounds
Line: Over 3.5 Rebounds (-165)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
Analysis: Sabrina Ionescu has been a strong rebounder recently, averaging 5.8 rebounds over her last 5 games (80% hit rate) and 5.1 rebounds over her last 10 games (70% hit rate). Crucially, her teammate Jonquel Jones, a key frontcourt presence, is out for this game, which should open up more rebounding opportunities for Ionescu. When playing at home this season, Ionescu has averaged 5.36 rebounds, hitting the over 72.73% of the time. The Indiana Fever's defense against guards for rebounds is ranked 8th, which is slightly above average, but Ionescu's consistent performance and increased opportunity make this a solid play.
Today's WNBA Best Bets & Props - Confidence Ratings!
Minnesota Lynx -10.0 vs. Phoenix Mercury
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Line: Minnesota Lynx -10.0 (-114)
Book Link: BetRivers
Las Vegas Aces -5.5 vs. Dallas Wings
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Line: Las Vegas Aces -5.5 (-115)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
Jackie Young (Las Vegas Aces) - Over 7.5 Assists + Rebounds
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Line: Over 7.5 Assists + Rebounds (-135)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
Kelsey Mitchell (Indiana Fever) - Over 18.5 Points
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Line: Over 18.5 Points (-115)
Book Link: Caesars
Sabrina Ionescu (New York Liberty) - Over 3.5 Rebounds
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
Line: Over 3.5 Rebounds (+115)
Book Link: ESPN Bet
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