Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/25/25
- Lee Shipley
- May 25
- 2 min read
Welcome Back to The TOP DINGERZ Daily Dose! Get ready to dive deep into some home run predictions. We're breaking down the 'over' home run props for a few key sluggers, looking at all the juicy details like odds, stats, and our best guesses based on the latest research. And just so you know, all this awesome data is powered by Pine Sports and hand-selected by the absolute best MLB analytics expert over at The Outlet Sports Ventures!
The Brandon Lowe Bomb
(Tampa Bay Rays)
Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +450 at BetMGM
Recent Performance:
Last 5 games: Hit the over in 40% of games (0.4 HR/game).
Last 10 games: Hit the over in 30% of games (0.4 HR/game).
Last 15 games: Hit the over in 26.67% of games (0.33 HR/game).
Last 20 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.25 HR/game).
Season Stats:
Season average: 0.19 HR/game.
Hit the over in 17.02% of games this season.
Matchup Insights:
Against the Blue Jays in 2025: Hit the over in 40% of games (0.6 HR/game).
At home in 2025: Hit the over in 16.67% of games (0.17 HR/game).
Prediction: While Lowe has shown some power recently, his overall home run rate is low, and the odds reflect the long-shot nature of this prop. The +450 odds offer value for a small wager if you believe in his ability to capitalize on a favorable matchup.
The Ty France Bomb (Minnesota Twins)
Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +900 at Caesars
Recent Performance:
Last 5 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.2 HR/game).
Last 10 games: Hit the over in 10% of games (0.1 HR/game).
Last 15 games: Hit the over in 6.67% of games (0.07 HR/game).
Last 20 games: Hit the over in 5% of games (0.05 HR/game).
Season Stats:
Season average: 0.08 HR/game.
Hit the over in 8% of games this season.
Matchup Insights:
Against the Royals in 2025: Hit the over in 50% of games (0.5 HR/game).
At home in 2025: Hit the over in 4% of games (0.04 HR/game).
Prediction: Ty France has struggled to hit home runs consistently this season, but his 50% hit rate against the Royals in 2025 is intriguing. At +900 odds, this is a high-risk, high-reward play.
The Kyle Schwarber Bomb (Philadelphia Phillies)
Odds: +240 at FanDuel
Analysis:
Schwarber is also tied for the MLB lead with 18 home runs and has hit 3 homers in his last 6 games.
He boasts a 33.96% season hit rate for home runs and has a .977 OPS, ranking fourth in the league.
Oakland's pitcher Gunnar Hoglund has a 5.06 ERA, making this a favorable matchup.
The weather in Sacramento is warm, with wind blowing out, which should aid Schwarber's power.
❇️ NOTE : Today’s Homerun Hitters are not the best, Many Games are Not lining up to be a Homerun style game and it’s a Small Slate Today! Play responsibly and Good Luck today!
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