Top 3 Home Run Hitters for Today’s MLB Games 4/14/25
- Lee Shipley
- Apr 14
- 2 min read
With a loaded slate of 10 MLB games today, the potential for electrifying home run action is undeniable. To pinpoint the players most likely to go deep, we've leveraged the cutting-edge data and predictive power of Pine Sports AI, a sophisticated model developed by the experts at The Outlet Sports Ventures. Based on this advanced analysis of recent performance, favorable matchups, and key statistical trends, here are the top three sluggers primed to leave the yard in today's Games!
The Bobby Witt Jr. Bomb (Kansas City Royals)
Matchup: Kansas City Royals @ New York Yankees
Pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (Yankees)
Odds: +470 at DraftKings
Analysis:
Bobby Witt Jr. is in a prime spot to hit a home run tonight. Carrasco has struggled this season with a 7.71 ERA and has allowed three home runs in his last start. Witt Jr. has a strong history against Carrasco, going 2-for-3 with a home run. Additionally, Carrasco allowed a .525 slugging percentage to right-handed batters last season, and Witt Jr. thrives against right-handed pitching, hitting a home run every 18 at-bats last year. With Witt Jr. on a six-game hitting streak, this is a high-value play.
The Mookie Betts Bomb
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
Matchup: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (Rockies)
Odds: +440 at DraftKings
Analysis:
Mookie Betts has a favorable matchup against Antonio Senzatela, who has a 5.14 ERA and allowed two home runs in his last start. Betts has gone 9-for-20 with two home runs against Senzatela in his career. Additionally, Betts has already hit three home runs this season, all at home, and Dodger Stadium has a park factor of 124 for home runs. With Senzatela’s struggles and the Rockies’ weak bullpen, Betts is a strong candidate to go deep tonight.
The Freddie Freeman Bomb (Los Angeles Dodgers)
Matchup: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Pitcher: Antonio Senzatela (Rockies)
Odds: +600 at FanDuel
Analysis:
Freddie Freeman is another Dodger to watch against Senzatela. Freeman has a solid track record at home this season, hitting the over on home run props 33.33% of the time. Senzatela’s reliance on a hittable fastball and slider plays into Freeman’s strengths, as the Dodgers’ lineup has excelled against these pitches. With the Rockies’ bullpen also struggling, Freeman offers excellent value today!
The Summary Table!
PlayerOddsConfidence RatingKey Factors
Bobby Witt Jr.+470⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)Strong matchup vs. Carrasco, recent hitting streak, but limited HR production.
Freddie Freeman+600⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (5/5)Excellent home performance, favorable matchup, and great odds value.
Mookie Betts+440⭐⭐⭐⭐½ (4.5/5)Strong history vs. Senzatela, hitter-friendly park, and solid recent form.
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