Top MLB Home Run Props for Today 6/2/25

Ready to swing for the fences with your MLB wagers? Look no further! We've scoured today's matchups to bring you the best home run prop recommendations, meticulously crafted from detailed player trends, insightful pitcher matchups, and crucial hard-hit rates. Dive into our analysis for each pick, and with a direct betting link conveniently at your fingertips, you'll be ready to take your shot at a grand slam win!

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The Shohei Ohtani Bomb

(Los Angeles Dodgers)

• Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +180 (FanDuel)

• Analysis: Ohtani has been in excellent form, hitting the over on this line in 40% of his last 20 games. He has also hit 33.33% of the time against the Mets in 2025. At home, his over-hit percentage is 33.33%, and he’s averaging 0.4 HRs per game. With his power and the Mets’ pitching struggles, this is a strong value play.

The Rob Refsnyder Bomb (Boston Red Sox)

• Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +460 (BetRivers)

• Analysis: Refsnyder has hit the over in 33.33% of his last 15 games and has a strong home over-hit percentage of 28.57%. Facing Tyler Anderson, a left-handed pitcher, Refsnyder’s ability to hit lefties well makes this a solid pick.

The Kerry Carpenter Bomb (Detroit Tigers)

• Over 0.5 Home Runs: +300 at BetRivers

• Recent Performance:

  • Last 5 games: Carpenter has not hit a home run (0% hit rate).

  • Last 10 games: 10% hit rate (1 home run).

  • Last 15 games: 6.67% hit rate (1 home run).

  • Last 20 games: 10% hit rate (2 home runs).

  Analysis

• While Kerry Carpenter's recent home run output has been a bit quiet with only one in his last ten games, his track record against the White Sox this season tells a different story: he's crushed two homers in just three games. This suggests a favorable matchup for him against their pitching staff. With enticing odds of +300 for him to hit a home run tonight, Carpenter presents a high-value, albeit somewhat risky, opportunity for bettors.

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The Honorable Mentions!

Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers) vs. Cincinnati Reds

• Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +425 (BetRivers)

Will Benson (Cincinnati Reds) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

• Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +400 (FanDuel)

Yoán Moncada (Los Angeles Angels) vs. Boston Red Sox

• Odds: Over 0.5 HR at +600 (FanDuel)