Top MLB Homerun Props for today! 6/3/25

Welcome back! Hope you’re ready to smash some dingers today? We had a big day yesterday and We've dug deep into the stats again today to bring you the top home run hitters to keep an eye on in these MLB games. Our picks consider everything from how they've been swinging lately, to who they're facing on the mound, and even the quirks of each ballpark. Plus, we've even included direct links to place your bets if you're feeling lucky! And here's the best part: all this awesome data is powered by Pine Sports AI.

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The Ben Rice Bomb

(NY Yankees)

• Over 0.5 Home Runs: +350Available at FanDuel

Recent Performance

• Last 5 Games:Rice has hit a home run in 40% of his last 5 games, averaging 0.4 home runs per game.

• Last 10 Games:His home run rate drops to 30%, with an average of 0.3 home runs per game.

• Last 20 Games:Over this stretch, Rice has hit a home run in 20%of games, maintaining an average of 0.2 home runs per game.

• Season Performance:Rice has hit a home run in 21.57% of his games this season, with an average of 0.24 home runs per game.

Recommendation

Given Rice's recent success against Bibee and the favorable park factors at Yankee Stadium, the Over 0.5 Home Runs at +350 (FanDuel) offers strong value for bettors looking to take a calculated risk. However, it’s worth noting that his overall season consistency for home runs is relatively low, so this bet carries some risk.

The Bryce Harper Bomb (Philadelphia Phillies)

• Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +331 at Pinnacle

• Recent Performance:

  • Last 10 games: 10% hit rate for home runs.

  • Last 20 games: 10% hit rate for home runs.

• Season Stats:

  • Home run rate: 14.55% (8 home runs in 55 games).

  • On the road: 14.29% hit rate for home runs.

• Matchup Context:

  • Harper has a history of power against the Blue Jays, with a 25% hit rate for home runs in 4 games last season.

  • The Blue Jays' pitching staff has been vulnerable to left-handed power hitters, which aligns well with Harper's strengths.

Recommendation

Harper’s power potential and favorable matchup against the Blue Jays' pitching staff make him a solid candidate for a home run today. The +331 odds provide good value for a player of his caliber.

The Junior Caminero Bomb (Tampa Bay Rays)

• Over 0.5 Home Runs: +449 at Pinnacle

  • Recent Performance: Caminero has hit the over on 0.5 home runs in 60% of his last 5 games, averaging 0.8 home runs per game.

  • Matchup Insight: Caminero has struggled against the Rangers in 2025 (0% hit rate), but his recent form and power at home (25% hit rate in 2025) make him a viable option.

  • Park Factor: Tropicana Field is slightly pitcher-friendly, but Caminero’s recent power surge offsets this.

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The Honorable Mentions!

Cal Raleigh (Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles)

• Over 0.5 Home Runs: +288 at Pinnacle

Alec Burleson (St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals)

• Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +600 at FanDuel

Aaron Judge (New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians)

• Over 0.5 Home Runs: +195 at BetRivers