Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction and Betting Tips | May 4, 2025

Game Info

• Date: Saturday, May 4, 2025

• Time: 7:30 PM ET

• Venue: BMO Field, Toronto, Canada

• Where to Watch: Apple TV (MLS Season Pass)

Betting Odds

Outcome	Odds
Toronto FC Win	+145
Draw	+230
New England Win	+170
Under 2.5 Goals	-120

Match Preview

Toronto FC

Toronto are still in search of their first home win of the 2025 MLS season and head into this clash sitting 14th in the Eastern Conference. Robin Fraser has prioritized defensive structure, and while the Reds have conceded just once in each of their last five league games, their attack has been completely toothless—failing to register a single shot on target in last weekend’s 1-0 loss to NYCFC.

With only 16 big chances created all season, Toronto are the third-worst in MLS in terms of creativity. Despite holding the edge in recent head-to-heads against New England, their current lack of attacking firepower casts doubt over their ability to turn defense into points.

Expected Starting XI:Johnson; Thompson, Long, Rosted, Petretta; Flores, Coello; Bernardeschi, Insigne, Osorio; Spicer

New England Revolution

After a slow start to the season, the Revs are gathering momentum with three consecutive wins and three clean sheets to match. Caleb Porter’s side is now just a point away from the playoff places and has been solid on the road, picking up points in four of their last five visits to Toronto.

The experienced trio of Carles Gil, Matt Polster, and Ignatius Ganago continue to lead by example, and with a fourth straight shutout in sight, New England will aim to keep things tight and capitalize on Toronto’s blunt attack.

Expected Starting XI:Ivacic; Ceballos, Fofana, Beason; Bye, Polster, Gil, Yusuf, Miller; Campana, Ganago

Key Stats

• Toronto have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 MLS matches.

• New England have won 3 straight MLS games, all with clean sheets.

• The Revs have earned points in 4 of their last 5 visits to BMO Field.

• Toronto have created the third-fewest big chances in MLS (16).

  
  

Player Props

• Carles Gil Anytime Goalscorer (+300): Gil has scored in back-to-back games and remains the Revs’ creative heartbeat.

• Lorenzo Insigne Over 2.5 Shots (+110): Despite Toronto’s struggles, Insigne continues to shoot from distance and is a high-volume threat when on the field.

  
  

Final Prediction

New England Revolution to win 1-0With their defense clicking and Toronto’s lack of cutting edge in attack, expect the Revolution to edge this one and claim a fourth straight win in clinical fashion.