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🎾 ATP Bastad 2025: Friday’s Best Bets & Predictions (July 18)

Updated: Jul 17

ad enters its decisive stages. Friday’s quarterfinal lineup is packed with value for bettors and tennis fans alike. Clay-court specialists take center stage. Rising talents also shine. Gritty grinders are important as we look for angles and edges on the red dirt.

Let’s break down the top picks and predictions for July 18, 2025.


🇳🇱 Jesper de Jong (+135) vs Tallon Griekspoor 🇳🇱 (-160)

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A Dutch showdown on clay, and this one should be closer than the odds suggest. Griekspoor’s bigger serve gives him the edge, but de Jong has quietly posted solid clay results and is confident in longer rallies.


🧊 Best Bet: Over 22.5 Games (-140)

🍇 Lean: Jesper de Jong +135


🇦🇷 Camilo Ugo Carabelli (+105) vs Filip Misolic 🇦🇹 (-130)

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Carabelli is playing with momentum and has been a force on clay this season. Misolic is solid but hasn’t been able to consistently break down baseline-heavy players like Carabelli.


🧊 Best Bet: Camilo Ugo Carabelli ML (+105)

🍇 Lean: Carabelli to Win in Straight Sets (+225)


🇦🇷 Sebastian Baez (+115) vs Luciano Darderi 🇮🇹 (-140)

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This is one of the most intriguing matches of the day. Baez is a clay technician who thrives in longer points, while Darderi's explosive one-two punch gives him a slight edge. Expect a tight affair.


🧊 Best Bet: Over 22.5 Games (-115)

🍇 Lean: Baez +115


🇦🇷 Francisco Cerúndolo (-475) vs Damir Džumhur 🇧🇦 (+350)

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Cerúndolo is a heavy favorite, and for good reason. His depth, court positioning, and comfort on clay should overwhelm Džumhur, who relies more on finesse but lacks the firepower to turn the tide.


🧊 Best Bet: Cerúndolo -1.5 Sets (-165)

🍇 Lean: Under 20.5 Games (-120)


📢 Final Word


As we hit the quarterfinals, expect tighter sets and fewer mismatches — which creates opportunity for sharp wagers. From Carabelli’s value to Cerúndolo’s dominance, this Friday slate is a clay court bettor’s dream.


Best Bets 💰


  • 💰 Je Dong/Griekspoor Over 22.5 (-140)

  • 💰 Camilo Ugo Carabelli ML (+105)

  • 💰 Baez/Darderi Over 22.5 Games (-115)


📝 Thanks for reading! Check back daily for more ATP and WTA tennis picks from TalkMooreSports.com and TheOutletSV. Stay locked in for insights, angles, and value plays all

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