🎾 ATP Los Cabos Final Preview – Shapovalov 🇨🇦 vs Kovacevic 🇺🇸

Mekhi Moore
Jul 19
2 min read

Date: Saturday, July 19, 2025, 11:00 PM EST

Event: Mifel Tennis Open (ATP 250) – Hard Court, Baja California

🧠 Tournament Run & Current Form

Denis Shapovalov has been in superb form. After routine wins over Tristan Schoolkate and Govind Nanda, he demolished Adam Walton 6–2, 6–2 in the semifinals, winning 24 winners and breaking serve four times. His draw showcased aggression, pace control, and mental composure.

Aleksandar Kovacevic pulled off a major shock in his semis, upsetting top-seed Andrey Rublev 3–6, 6–4, 6–4 in two hours 29 minutes. That’s his second career victory over Rublev (also in Montpellier), highlighting his confidence and tactical capacity under pressure.

📊 Head-to-Head & Style Showdown

H2H: First-time meeting; identical one-handed backhands on display.
Shapovalov’s edge: Explosive lefty forehand, aggressive serve, and tour-level experience.
Kovacevic’s path: Consistent ball-striking, flat groundstrokes, defensive stability, rising confidence.

Surface favors Shapo’s aggression, but Kovacevic’s return depth and counterpunching threaten if Shapo misfires.

🎯 Prediction & Betting Angles

Conditions: Medium-fast hard court—ideal arena for Shapovalov but suitable for Kovacevic’s rhythm too.

🔮 Prediction:

Expect a three-set thriller. Shapovalov’s power helps break early, but Kovacevic won’t go quietly after taking out Rublev.

💰 Best Bet: Over 22.5 Games (–106)

Matches against big servers often hit totals, and Kovacevic’s staying power adds depth.

🍇 Lean: Kovacevic +1.5 Set Spread (–120)

His calm game and counter-rally skill should keep him within a set, even if Shapo edges it.

📢 Final Word

Saturday's showdown is tennis at its finest—two one-handed artists, one explosive, one composed, both in high form. Physically and mentally, this one could teeter on balance. Expect deep, momentum-swinging rallies with a few fireworks.

Thanks for reading and following along with our ATP Los Cabos Final coverage! For more daily picks, detailed previews, and winning insights, be sure to check out TalkMooreSports.com and follow along with TheOutletSV. We don’t just talk sports—we talk Moore sports. 🎾💬