CFL Best Bets: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes Prediction 7/5/25

Lee Shipley
Jul 5
3 min read

BC Lions vs Alouettes Game Info:

Location: Percival Molson Stadium, Montreal
Date: Saturday, 7-5-2025
Kick-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Lions vs Alouettes opening odds:

Spread: BC +5.5 (-115) | Montreal -5.5 (-105)
Moneyline: BC +180 | Montreal -220
Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)

Saturday's game at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium sees the Montreal Alouettes (who are looking good at 3-1) going up against the BC Lions (who are struggling a bit at 1-3). Montreal is expected to win this one pretty handily, opening as 5-point favorites. The total score for the game is predicted to be around 49.5 points. We'll likely see Nathan Rourke under center for the Lions and McLeod Bethel-Thompson leading the Alouettes offense.

BC Lions vs Alouettes trend

Montreal is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 matchups against BC.

The BC Lions Team Preview!

The Lions are coming off a tough 37-18 loss to the Roughriders. Despite the defeat, James Butler had a standout performance, rushing for 123 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries, including a long 38-yard run. He also led the team in receiving with 26 yards. Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli struggled, throwing for 173 yards and a touchdown but also tossing three interceptions.

Looking at their season stats so far, the Lions' offense is strong in the air, ranking 2nd in the CFL with an average of 282.5 passing yards per game and 1,130 total passing yards. Overall, they're 2nd in the league in total offense with 379.0 yards per contest, though their rushing game is less dominant at 96.5 yards per game. Points-wise, they're averaging 20.8 points per outing, placing them 8th in the league.

Defensively, the Lions are allowing 28.0 points per game (7th in the league). They've given up an average of 140.5 rushing yards per game and 183.8 passing yards per game, ranking them 2nd in the CFL for passing yards allowed. Overall, their defense is giving up 324.2 yards per outing, which is 2nd best in the CFL.

The Alouettes Team Preview!

The Alouettes are coming off a 35-17 loss to the Tiger-Cats. Quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson threw for 203 yards and a touchdown but also had two interceptions. He added 19 rushing yards on three carries. Cole Spieker led the team in receiving with 57 yards on six catches.

So far this season, the Alouettes' offense is solid, ranking 3rd in the CFL with 263.5 passing yards per game and 5th overall with 364.2 total yards per outing. They're also averaging a healthy 30.5 points per game, good for 3rd in the league. On the ground, they're averaging 100.8 rushing yards per game.

Defensively, the Alouettes are holding opponents to 22.8 points per game, which ranks them 3rd in the CFL. They've been particularly strong against the run, giving up only 70.5 rushing yards per game. Through the air, they're allowing 238.8 yards per outing, placing them 4th in the league.

The Lions vs Alouettes Game Prediction!

Alright, so here's what we got out of this article! The Montreal Alouettes just took their first loss of the year, getting smacked around 35-17 by Hamilton, partly because their starting QB, Davis Alexander, was out. He's still sidelined this week, along with a couple of other key players, including their top-graded defensive back. On the flip side, the BC Lions are getting their star QB, Nathan Rourke, back after a two-week absence, which has shifted the betting line significantly in their favor.

However, I think that line move is an overreaction. While Rourke is a talent, his offensive line isn't great and will face a tough Montreal front four. The Alouettes' defense is seriously stingy, leading the league in fewest yards allowed and forced turnovers, and they're second in sacks. Plus, Montreal has a fantastic home record, so I'm banking on their defense to carry them to a win and cover the spread.