Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Predictions & Player Props (May 3)

The Golden State Warriors will aim to close out their first-round series against the Houston Rockets when the two teams clash in Game 6 at the Chase Center on Saturday night. After dropping Game 5 in Houston, the Warriors return home with a 3-2 lead and the opportunity to book their spot in the Western Conference semi-finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Meanwhile, the Rockets will be fighting to force a Game 7 on their home court.

Game Info

• Date: Saturday, April 27, 2025

• Time: 8:30 PM ET

• Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

• Where to Watch: ESPN / NBA League Pass

Betting Odds

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Golden State Warriors	-7.5	-320	219.5
Houston Rockets	+7.5	+250	219.5

Preview

Golden State Warriors Preview

After a lackluster showing in Game 5, the Warriors return to familiar territory at the Chase Center, where they’ve won both home games this series. Head coach Steve Kerr pulled his starters early last time out after a poor first half, but his second unit, led by Moses Moody (25 points), showed promise. Stephen Curry managed just 13 points in Game 5, but with the series on the line, expect a bounce-back performance from the veteran guard. Jonathan Kuminga remains a doubt due to illness, but the Warriors still possess enough firepower to end the series at home.

Starting Lineup: Curry, Podziemski; Moody, Green; Post

Houston Rockets Preview

The Rockets kept their postseason hopes alive with a 131-116 Game 5 win, thanks to standout performances from Fred VanVleet (26 points) and Amen Thompson (25 points). Despite losing the rebounding battle for the first time all series, the Rockets shot efficiently and controlled the tempo. Ime Udoka’s side will need another strong performance on the boards and another big game from VanVleet, who’s averaged 25.5 PPG over the last two contests. Jalen Green is expected to feature despite a minor knee scare.

Starting Lineup: VanVleet, Green; Brooks, Thompson; Sengun

Key Stats

• Warriors are 10-3 in their last 13 home playoff games.

• Rockets have lost 7 of their last 9 road playoff games.

• VanVleet is averaging 25.5 PPG over the last two games.

• Golden State won Games 3 and 4 at home by a combined 21 points.

• The OVER has hit in four of the five games in this series.

  
  

Player Props

• Stephen Curry Over 25.5 Points: After a quiet Game 5, expect Curry to lead the charge offensively in a close-out scenario.

• Fred VanVleet Over 2.5 Threes Made: The veteran guard has been red-hot from deep in the last two games and should get ample shooting chances again.

  
  

  

  
  

Final Prediction

The Rockets delivered a spirited performance in Game 5, but returning to the Chase Center shifts the momentum back in Golden State’s favor. With Stephen Curry due for a big game and the Warriors’ supporting cast stepping up at home, expect the hosts to seal the series and cover the spread.

Prediction: Warriors 116-106 RocketsPick: Warriors -7.5 | Over 219.5