Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Finals Game 7 6/22/25

Indiana Pacers (50-32, fourth in the Eastern Conference) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, first in the Western Conference)

Oklahoma City; Sunday, 8 p.m. EDT

Thunder -7.5; over/under is 215

NBA FINALS: Series tied 3-3

The Situational Performance ATS Sheet!

The Game 7 Odds!

The Pacers Vs OKC Thunder

Game Preview!

What a series, huh? It's all come down to this: Game 7 of the NBA Finals, with the Indiana Pacers (50-32) heading into Oklahoma City to face the Thunder (68-14) on Sunday. The Pacers are 8-point underdogs, and the total is set at 216. For the first time in nearly a decade, we're getting to enjoy every possible moment of the NBA season—it's even the longest season ever thanks to that new in-season tournament. And honestly, we couldn't be happier that the Pacers big win on Thursday forced this winner-take-all showdown game 7! Now let’s get to work and find out who wins this game to become the 2025 NBA Champions!

Pacers vs Thunder Top Trend

• The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+16.90 Units / 32% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Thunder.

The Pacers Team Preview!

So, in Game 6, the Pacers absolutely dominated, winning 108-91! They shot 41.3% from the field, including 15 three-pointers, and were decent from the free-throw line at 68%. They also crashed the boards with 46 rebounds (11 offensive), dished out 23 assists, and really hounded the Thunder, forcing 21 turnovers and snagging 16 steals. The Thunder, on the other hand, struggled with their shooting, hitting only 41.9% from the field and a measly 8 of 30 from deep, though they were solid from the free-throw line at 80.8%. They only managed 14 assists and 4 steals. A big shoutout goes to Obi Toppin for the Pacers; he was a huge factor with 20 points on 6-of-12 shooting in just 23 minutes, plus 6 rebounds.

This win brings the Pacers season record to 50-32. They're a high-scoring team, averaging 117.4 points per game (7th in the NBA) on 48.8% shooting, and they're fantastic at sharing the ball, ranking 3rd in assists. Defensively, they force a lot of turnovers and don't foul too much, but they do give up a fair amount of points, ranking 17th in points allowed per game.

The OKC Team Preview!

The Thunder didn't have their best night in Game 6, losing to the Pacers. They managed to grab 41 rebounds (37 defensive, 4 offensive) but really struggled with 21 turnovers while only getting 4 steals. They did get to the free-throw line a lot, hitting 21 of 26 attempts for a solid 80.8%, but their three-point shooting was off, making just 8 of 30 tries (26.7%). Overall, they shot 41.9% from the field.

The Pacers, on the other hand, shot 41.3% from the field, including 15 three-pointers, and were decent from the free-throw line at 68%. They also dominated the boards, grabbing 46 rebounds against the Thunder. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was a bright spot for the Thunder, putting up 21 points on 7-of-15 shooting and grabbing 4 rebounds in 31 minutes.

The Thunder's season record stands at 68-14. They're a strong offensive team, ranking 7th in the league in field goal percentage (48.2%) and averaging 120.5 points per game. They also share the ball well, ranking 12th in assists, and don't turn it over much. Defensively, they're elite, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game (107.6) and holding opponents to the best field goal percentage in the league (43.6%). They're also great at defending the three-point line and forcing turnovers.

The Pacers Vs OKC Thunder Game Prediction!

The Pick: Indiana Pacers +7.5 -110

You know, it's pretty interesting how the Pacers pulled off that dominant win on Thursday, even though their shooting wasn't exactly lights-out. They only hit about 41% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc, which means there was still room for them to improve if their shots had really started falling.

Now, here's a fun little tidbit: the Pacers have actually been better at shooting threes on the road during these Finals, hitting 39.4% in Oklahoma City compared to just 33.3% at home. Not only that, but they're also taking more three-pointers when they're away. So, if you're looking for a reason to bet against the Thunder winning at home on Sunday, it might just come down to whether the Pacers can catch fire from deep. That's why taking the Pacers at +250 might actually be a pretty smart play!