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Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka Predictions & Betting Odds [March 21, 2025]


Game Info

  • Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

  • Time (ET): 1:00 PM

  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida

  • Where to Watch: ESPN, Tennis Channel


Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka Betting Odds


Bookmaker

Muchova Odds

Azarenka Odds

BetMGM

-180

+150

DraftKings

-175

+155

FanDuel

-185

+145

Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka Preview


Karolina Muchova Preview


Karolina Muchova returns to action at the Miami Open hoping to bounce back from a disappointing fourth-round exit at Indian Wells, where she was humiliated in a 6-1, 6-1 drubbing by Iga Swiatek. The 28-year-old Czech, who opened 2025 with an 11-6 record, is keen to move on from that setback and find her form in Miami, a tourney she has failed to get beyond the third round.


Karolina Muchova

Muchova, however, has had a strong start to the season besides for the loss against Swiatek, where she reached the semi’s in Linz and Dubai. She has also proven she can take care of lower-ranked foes, going 27-5 against players outside the top 20 over the past year.

Muchova triumphed in straight sets over Azarenka in their most recent meeting (at Indian Wells last year) and will face the two-time major winner in high spirits.

Muchova Expected Starting Lineup: Muchova


Victoria Azarenka Preview


A three-time winner of the tournament (2009, 2011, 2016), Victoria Azarenka is one of the most successful players in the tournament’s history. The 35-year-old Belarusian opened her campaign with a straightforward 6-3, 6-1 win against Anhelina Kalinina in the first round and will aim to maintain that momentum against Muchova.

Azarenka’s form in 2025 has been patchy, however. She hasn’t won consecutive matches at any WTA 1000 event this year, and all five of her losses this season have come in straight sets. Noting his vast experience and success in Miami, the former world No. 1 will have to dig out her best tennis to subdue the aggressive baseline play of Muchova.

Azarenka Projected Starting XI: Azarenka


Victoria Azarenka

Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka Key Stats


Muchova's record against players ranked outside the top 20 in the past year is 27-5.

Azarenka has the most wins (44) at the Miami Open.

Muchova defeated them in straight sets at Indian Wells 2023 most recently.

In 2025, Azarenka has not made it past the third round at a WTA 1000 event.


Player Props for Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka


Karolina Muchova Total Games Won Over 12.5 (-120, DraftKings) – Muchova has been crushing lower-ranked players so far and this is an match she will dictate.

Victoria Azarenka Total Aces Under 2.5 (-110, BetMGM) – Azarenka has had a really tough time serving this season, which presents fine value in this line.


Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Azarenka Final Prediction

Muchova comes into this match as the favorite, after her better form in 2025 and strong performances the past against Azarenka. ANALYSIS: The Belarusian veteran has the experience and previous glory in Miami, but her inconsistency throughout the season keeps her an underdog.


We see Muchova being able to control the play behind her strong baseline game and get Azarenka into mistakes and dictating the tempo of the match. Considering Azarenka’s woes in this year’s WTA 1000 events, we’re with Karolina Muchova to win by two sets to nil, and the total games total to remain under 21.5.


Karolina-Muchova

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