top of page

MLB Picks for 3/29/24

By Hardee Picks


Outlook

  • MLB is back and we SWEPT my card yesterday! 6-0 on the card, plus we hit our two legger 1+ hit parlay from yesterday's article! 13 games on Opening Day had 28 home runs, 13 stolen bases, and 122 runs scored! 10 games are on the slate for Friday and we have 4 teams opening up their season. Today we will discuss the games and the pitching matchups, my best players to look at props, best bets, and my 3 person 1+ hit parlay! Let's get these coins!



Games

  • MIL Brewers vs NY Mets 1:40 pm est

    • Freddy Peralta vs Jose Quintana

      • Peralta is coming off a 12-10 season with a 3.86 ERA and 210 strikeouts. This Mets roster has 8 total hits in 52 ABs against him, which is a .154 AVG, and they have struck out 19 times. He opened the season last year against the Mets in a game he went 6 IP, gave up 2 hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks, on 85 pitches thrown to get the win in a game that finished 10-0. I know the past is important, but he got touched up this spring training posting a 7.20 ERA in 15 IP and a batting average of .333 against.

      • Jose Quintana is coming off a 3-6 season posting a 3.57 ERA. He only pitched in 13 games after dealing with a rib injury. This Brewers roster is batting .288 against him with 19 hits in 66 ABs. The 35 year old has been cursed with injuries since 2019, and the lack of use was seen in this spring training as he gave up a 6.19 ERA in 16 IP.


  • ATL Braves vs PHI Phillies 3:05 pm est

    • Spencer Strider vs Zack Wheeler

      • Strider went 20-5 last season posting a 3.86 ERA and 281 strikeouts. He went 4-0 versus the Phillies last regular season, but went 0-2 when it mattered in the postseason. The Phillies are batting .195 against him going 38-195. He shoved this preseason going 3-1 with a 0.79 ERA in 22.2 IP, a .190 batting average against, and 35 strikeouts.

      • Wheeler went 13-6 last season posting a 3.61 ERA with 212 strikeouts and a 1.08 WHIP. He went 2-0 vs ATL last season. This Braves roster is batting .221 against him going 69-312. In the preseason, he pitched 14.1 IP with a 1.26 ERA.


  • TOR Blue Jays vs TB Rays 6:50 pm est

    • Chris Bassitt vs Aaron Civale

      • Bassitt went 16-8 with a 3.60 ERA. He went 1-1 versus this Tampa Bay roster last year, who is batting .238 versus him going 10-42.

      • Civale was 7-5 last year with a 3.46 ERA. He was 0-1 versus this Toronto roster who is batting .250 against him going 8-32.


  • PIT Pirates vs MIA Marlins 7:10 pm est

    • Martin Perez vs A.J. Puk

      • Perez went 10-4 last season with a 4.45 ERA. He transitioned to the bullpen after the addition of some major arms at the deadline with Texas. This Marlins team is batting .227 against him going 10-44.

      • Puk is making his first career start after having his whole career being in the bullpen. The Marlins rotation is hurting with Alcantara and Perez being injured. Pittsburgh is batting .235 against him going 4-17.


  • NY Yankees vs HOU Astros 8:10 pm est

    • Carlos Rodon vs Cristian Javier

      • Rodon went 3-8 last year while dealing with injury complications. He did face Houston twice and got one win. Houston is batting .236 against him going 17-72.

      • Javier was 10-5 last year with a 4.56 ERA. Yankees are batting .137 versus him ,and Aaron Judge is 0-12 against him with 7 strikeouts.


  • CLE Guardians vs OAK Athletics 9:40 pm est

    • Logan Allen vs Ross Stripling

      • Allen went 7-8 last year posting a 3.81 ERA. This A's team only has 8 ABs against him but no hits.

      • Stripling went 0-5 last year with a 5.36 ERA. Cleveland is batting .342 against him going 9-26, led by Josh Naylor and Jose Ramirez.


  • COL Rockies vs ARI Diamondbacks 9:40 pm est

    • Cal Quantrill vs Merrill Kelly

      • Quantrill went 4-7 last season with a 5.24 ERA. Arizona is batting .242 versus him going 15-62, with Christian Walker and Eugenio Suarez leading the way.

      • Kelly went 12-8 last season with a 3.29 ERA. He was 2-0 versus Colorado last season who is batting .241 against him going 39-162.


  • BOS Red Sox vs SEA Mariners 9:40 pm est

    • Nick Pivetta vs George Kirby

      • Pivetta posted a 4.04 ERA last year as he bounced to the bullpen. He gets the start today versus Seattle who he went 1-1 against last season. The M's are batting .300 against him with Cal Raleigh and Jorge Polanco leading the way.


  • SF Giants vs SD Padres 9:40 pm est

    • Kyle Harrison vs Joe Musgrove

      • Kyle Harrison is a 22 year old with 7 career MLB starts under his belt. He went 1-1 last year with a 4.15 ERA. His only loss cam from San Diego, but this current roster formation is only batting .150 against him.

      • Musgrove got shelled in Korea versus LAD going 2.2 IP giving up 7 hits, 5 ER, 2 BB, and only 2 Ks. Last season, he went 10-3 posting a 3.05 ERA. This Giants roster is batting .206 against him going 26-126


  • STL Cardinals vs LA Dodgers 10:10 pm est

    • Zack Thompson vs Bobby Miller

      • Thompson has 10 career starts with 1 loss to the Dodgers. They are batting 1-8 against him.

      • Miller went 11-5 last year posting a 3.76 ERA. The only Card he has faced is Brandon Crawford who is 3-5 against him.



Players to Look at for Props

  • MIL William Contreras

    • See best bets

  • TOR Bo Bichette

    • Went 3-6 vs Civale, 0 Ks

  • SEA Jorge Polanco

    • 4-5 vs Pivetta with 2 HRs and a triple

  • SEA Cal Raleigh

    • 3-5 vs Pivetta with 2 HRs

  • BOS Rafael Devers

    • 5-10 vs Kirby with a double and a home run

  • CLE Josh Naylor

    • 3-3 vs Stripling with 1 HR

  • ARI Christian Walker

    • 4-9 vs Quantrill with 1 HR and 2 doubles

  • ARI Eugenio Suarez

    • 5-12 vs Quantrill with 1 double and RBIs

  • COL Kris Bryant

    • 9-22 vs Kelly with 3 doubles and a triple

  • SD Xander Bogartes

    • 2-2 vs Harrison with 1 HR

  • SF Michael Conforto

    • 3-5 vs Musgrove with a double and a home run



Best Bets

  • MIL William Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases vs NYM

    • Catcher William Contreras is coming off his first year of fully starting and proved to be an offensive weapon. With a .291 average and a .828 OPS last season, Contreras has 6 extra base hits, 3 of which are home runs, and has 25 total bases this spring training. He is facing off against left handed pitcher Jose Quintana for the Mets. In his career, he is 3-4 against Quintana with a double and a home run. In addition, Contreras batted .357 versus left handed pitchers last season and batted .351 on the road versus left handers.

      • THIS IS A 5 UNIT MAX PLAY FOR ME

  • SGP BOS vs SEA

    • 1+ Hit Jorge Polanco

    • 1+ Hit Cal Raleigh

    • 1+ Hit Rafael Devers

      • +225 on FanDuel

  • CLE Guardians ML

    • -134 on FanDuel

  • MIL Brewers First 5 -0.5 Run Line

    • +126 on FanDuel

  • TOR Bo Bichette 2+ Total Bases

    • -105 on FanDuel


1+ Hit Parlay

  • After the Brewers vs Mets rain out, my play got pushed to just Corey Seager and Masataka Yoshida, which both hit. Today we transition to 3 legs. As stated before, we add a leg for every day we cash the parlay.

    • MIL William Contreras

    • SEA Jorge Polanco

    • CLE Josh Naylor

      • +214 on FanDuel


57 views0 comments

Commenti


bottom of page