Today’s Top Week 10 NFL Touchdown Best Bets for 11/9/25

Touchdown props are the most exciting bets in football, and finding those high-value longshots can lead to massive payouts. We have Teamed up with Pine Sports & their crazy reliable JaXon AI to analyzed the data for Sunday, November 9th NFL Week 10 slate to bring you the top high-confidence picks and the best longshots! Lock in with us here at The Outlet Sports Ventures and let’s get paid on this Beautiful Sunday!

💰 High-Confidence Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks:

These players dominate red zone usage and have favorable matchups or overwhelming recent scoring trends, making them the safest bets to find the end zone.

1) Dallas Goedert (TE, Philadelphia Eagles) ATTD +260 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Analysis: Exceptional Value for a League Leader (Monday Night)

Note: This game is scheduled for Monday, November 10th, but the value is too high to ignore.

Dallas Goedert is the most mispriced player on the board this week. He leads all tight ends in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (7 total), averaging a full 1.0 TD per game. He is the most dominant red zone tight end in the league, ranking 1st in Red Zone TDs (6 total) and 1st in Inside 5 Receptions (4 total)

Despite this league-leading production, he is available at +260 odds. He has hit the over in 71.43% of his games this season and faces a Green Bay Packers defense that ranks 24th against opposing tight ends (highly favorable).

Goedert has hit the over in 66.67% of his road games this season, averaging 1.0 TD in those contests. The combination of elite production, a soft matchup, and massive plus-money odds makes this the top value pick of the entire slate.

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2) Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, Detroit Lions) -150 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Analysis: High-Volume Red Zone Threat

Jahmyr Gibbs has established himself as a primary scoring option for the high-powered Lions offense. He ranks 5th among RBs with 6 rushing touchdowns this season, averaging 0.75 TDs per game.

While the Lions utilize a committee approach, Gibbs maintains elite red zone usage, ranking 4th among RBs in total red zone carries (31 total, 3.88 per game). He has hit the over on this line in 60% of his last five games and in 62.5% of his games this season.

The Lions travel to face the Washington Commanders, whose defense ranks 13th against opposing running backs. Given the Lions offensive efficiency and Gibbs' consistent involvement near the goal line, he is a strong candidate to score, even with David Montgomery sharing touches.

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3) Trey McBride (TE, Arizona Cardinals) +156 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Analysis: Elite Opportunity at Great Value

Trey McBride is an absolute target hog, especially in the red zone, which makes these +156 odds incredibly appealing. He leads all tight ends in the NFL in total targets (75) and red zone targets (16), averaging 2.0 red zone targets per game. This volume is elite for any position, let alone a tight end.

He ranks 4th among TEs with 5 receiving touchdowns this season (0.62 per game). The news narrative strongly supports this pick: McBride has been thriving since Jacoby Brissett took over at quarterback, recording 4 of his 5 touchdowns in Brissett's three starts. He has hit the over in 75% of his road games this season, averaging 0.75 TDs away from home.

While the Seattle defense ranks 12th against TEs, McBride's overwhelming target share with Brissett under center gives him a high floor for scoring opportunities.

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4) DK Metcalf (WR, Pittsburgh Steelers) +156 ⭐️⭐️⭐️

Analysis: Goal-Line Specialist in a High-Scoring Environment

DK Metcalf is a massive target who sees significant usage near the goal line, which is exactly what you want in a plus-money longshot. He ranks 7th among wide receivers with 5 receiving touchdowns this season (0.62 per game).

Metcalf has seen 4 targets inside the 5-yard lineand 8 total red zone targets this season, demonstrating his role as a primary end zone option. He has hit the over in 62.5% of his gamesthis season.

He faces the Los Angeles Chargers in the Sunday Night Football matchup. While the Chargers defense is generally tough against wide receivers (ranked 6th), the expectation for a high-scoring game environment, combined with Metcalf's specific goal-line role, makes the +163 odds a solid value play.

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