Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 6/11/25 NBA Picks

Indiana Pacers (50-32) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 8:30 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers +5.5 -- Over/Under: 228.5

The NBA Finals are heating up as the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers prepare to clash in a pivotal Game 3 showdown. Both teams will be looking to gain a crucial advantage in the series as they hit the court at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday night. With the stakes incredibly high, this matchup promises to be a thrilling battle that could significantly impact the championship's trajectory.

The Oklahoma City Thunder Team Preview!

The Oklahoma City Thunder probably felt bummed after losing their first game, but they quickly turned things around with a solid 123-107 win in Game 2 on Sunday! Shai Gilgeous-Alexander really stepped up, scoring 34 points, and he got a ton of help from Alex Caruso (20 points off the bench), Jalen Williams (19 points), and Aaron Wiggins (18 points). Their defense was key, holding the Pacers to just 41 points in the first half, and Chet Holmgren made a big difference in the starting lineup, messing with a lot of the Pacers' shots. Do you think this momentum will carry them through the rest of the series?

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Isaiah Joe ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.

• Jalen Williams ranks 7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

The Indiana Pacers Team Preview!

The Indiana Pacers are probably feeling a bit of a mixed bag right now. While they managed to split their road games, which is good, getting absolutely blown out in Game 2 on Sunday must sting! Their offense struggled, with Tyrese Haliburton only scoring 17 points, and it seems like they just couldn't break through the Thunder's defense. Even Pascal Siakam had a tough night, and Obi Toppin really struggled off the bench. They've definitely come back from big deficits before, but do you think this Game 2 loss will mess with their confidence for the rest of the series?

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Ben Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (3.9) this season.

• Bennedict Mathurin ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (277) this season

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction!

The Pick: Indiana Pacers +5.5

So, while the Pacers might be dealing with a hobbled Tyrese Haliburton, and the Thunder are riding high with Chet Holmgren in the starting lineup, this series is far from over. The Pacers snatched home-court advantage, and they're heading back to a fired-up crowd who loves seeing them play the underdog. The betting trends even hint that the Pacers, despite being the underdogs on the road, often cover the spread. Can they pull off an upset at home with their role players stepping up? You won't want to miss our next round of free picks to see what we think will happen!

Why the Indiana Pacers will win!

• The Pacers have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.

• The Thunder have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a home win.

• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games.

• The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last six playoff home games following a loss.