The Top NBA Playoff Props for 4/30/25

Hoops fans, lock in! Tomorrow's NBA slate on April 30, 2025, presents some juicy player prop opportunities, and this article is your guide to the cream of the crop. We've sifted through the data to bring you the top value plays boasting impressive hit streaks. Each pick is backed by thorough analysis, giving you the insights you need, and we've even included a direct betting link to get you in the game. Data is Powered by Pine Sports AI.

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Dillon Brooks (Houston Rockets) Over 1.5 3-Pointers

• Opponent: Golden State Warriors

• Hit Rate:

  • Last 5 games: 80%

  • Last 10 games: 90%

  • Last 15 games: 86.67%

  • Season: 72.15%

• Performance vs. Warriors:

  • 2024-2025: 66.67% hit rate (6 of 9 games).

  • 2023-2024: 100% hit rate (3 of 3 games).

• Home Performance: 73.17% hit rate this season.

• Odds: -155 at BetMGM.

• Analysis: Brooks has been consistent from beyond the arc, especially at home. His strong hit rate against the Warriors and overall season performance make this a solid pick.

• Bet Link: BetMGM

Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors) Over 1.5 Rebounds

• Opponent: Houston Rockets

• Hit Rate:

  • Last 5 games: 80%

  • Last 10 games: 80%

  • Last 15 games: 80%

  • Season: 70.89%

• Performance vs. Rockets:

  • 2024-2025: 62.5% hit rate (5 of 8 games).

  • 2023-2024: 100% hit rate (3 of 3 games).

• Away Performance: 71.05% hit rate this season.

• Odds: -125 at BetMGM.

• Analysis: Moody has been reliable on the boards, particularly against the Rockets. His consistent hit rate across various timeframes makes this a strong value play.

• Bet Link: BetMGM

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 3.5 Rebounds + Assists

• Opponent: Los Angeles Lakers

• Hit Rate:

  • Last 5 games: 80%

  • Last 10 games: 90%

  • Last 15 games: 93.33%

  • Season: 84.88%

• Performance vs. Lakers:

  • 2024-2025: 87.5% hit rate (7 of 8 games).

  • 2023-2024: 100% hit rate (4 of 4 games).

• Away Performance: 83.72% hit rate this season.

• Odds: +110 at ESPN Bet.

• Analysis: Alexander-Walker has been highly effective in this category, particularly against the Lakers. His consistent hit rate and favorable odds make this a great value pick.

• Bet Link: ESPN Bet

Summary Confidence Ratings

1. Nickeil Alexander-Walker - Over 3.5 Rebounds + Assists: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

   
   

2. Dillon Brooks - Over 1.5 3-Point Field Goals:⭐⭐⭐⭐

   
   

3. Jabari Smith Jr. - Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds:⭐⭐⭐⭐