Today’s Top Homerun Props: MLB Best Bets 6/28/25
- Lee Shipley
- 1 day ago
- 2 min read
Here are some excellent choices for today's MLB home run prop bets. We're zeroing in on sluggers who have great matchups against pitchers known for giving up hard hits. Every recommendation comes with a detailed breakdown and a direct link to place your bet, all powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon.
The Colton Cowser Bomb (Baltimore Orioles)
Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +400
Best Book: BetRivers
Analysis:
Recent Form: Cowser has hit a home run in 30% of his last 10 games, showing some power potential.
Opponent Matchup: Against the Rays in 2025, Cowser has a 60% hit rate for home runs, with 3 homers in 5 games.
Why the Over Could Hit: Cowser has been effective against Tampa Bay pitching this season, and his ability to pull fly balls could exploit Camden Yards' hitter-friendly dimensions.
The Brandon Lowe Bomb (Tampa Bay Rays)
Prop Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +400
Book: BetMGM
Analysis:
Recent Form: Lowe has hit a home run in 40% of his last 5 games.
Matchup History: Against the Orioles in 2025, he has a 60% hit rate for home runs (3 HRs in 5 games).
Season Performance: Lowe has a 21.05% hit rate for home runs this season, with 16 HRs in 76 games.
Slugging Power: His success against Baltimore pitchers makes this a high-value bet.
The Alejandro Kirk
(Toronto Blue Jays)
Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +580
Best Book: Pinnacle
Analysis:
Recent Form: Kirk has hit a home run in 10% of his last 10 games.
Opponent Matchup: Against the Red Sox in 2025, Kirk has a 16.67% home run rate, with 1 homer in 6 games.
Why the Over Could Hit: Kirk has shown flashes of power, and Fenway Park's short left-field wall could work in his favor, especially if he pulls the ball.
The Honorable Mentions!
Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers @ Kansas City Royals)
Prop Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +240
Book: FanDuel