Today’s Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/24/25

Looking to add some extra excitement to your MLB viewing experience today, May 24, 2025? You've come to the right place! We're diving deep into the players most likely to send one soaring over the fences, handpicking the top home run props based on their recent power surges and some sweet matchups. What makes our picks stand out? All data is powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon and then hand-selected by the MLB analytics experts at The Outlet Sports Ventures, ensuring you get the most informed insights for today's action. Get ready to cheer on some dingers!

The Matt Chapman Bomb (San Francisco Giants)

• Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +400 at ESPN Bet

• Recent Success:

  • Last 5 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.2 HR/game).

  • Last 10 games: Hit the over in 10% of games (0.1 HR/game).

  • Last 20 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.2 HR/game).

• Analysis:

  • Chapman has hit 9 home runs in 50 games this season, translating to an 18% hit rate.

  • He has not hit a home run in his only matchup against the Nationals this season and has a 28.57% hit rate in 7 matchups last season.

  • Despite his power potential, his recent form and lack of success against the Nationals make this a challenging bet to back.

The Andy Pages Bomb

(Los Angeles Dodgers)

• Odds for Over 0.5 Home Runs: +400 at ESPN Bet

• Recent Success:

  • Last 5 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.2 HR/game).

  • Last 10 games: Hit the over in 10% of games (0.1 HR/game).

  • Last 20 games: Hit the over in 20% of games (0.2 HR/game).

• Analysis:

  • Chapman has hit 9 home runs in 50 games this season, translating to an 18% hit rate.

  • He has not hit a home run in his only matchup against the Nationals this season and has a 28.57% hit rate in 7 matchups last season.

  • Despite his power potential, his recent form and lack of success against the Nationals make this a challenging bet to back.

The Seiya Suzuki Bomb (Chicago Cubs)

• Matchup: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

• Recent Form: Suzuki has been consistent, with 11 home runs this season and a .284 batting average.

• Key Factors: He has a favorable matchup against the Reds' pitching staff, which has struggled with hard-hit balls and flyballs. Suzuki also homered in his last game against the Reds.

• Odds: Over 0.5 home runs at +400 on BetRivers.

The Honorable Mentions!

Rafael Devers (Boston Red Sox)

• Matchup: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles

• Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)

Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers)

• Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets

• Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)