Today’s Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/30/25
- Lee Shipley
- May 30
- 3 min read
Hope your ready to talk dingers? Our daily Homerun article has been crushing these high valued props consistently! That’s not easy to find, so congratulations if you are a consistent reader here! We're kicking off today with a look at the top MLB home run props for May 30, 2025. We've dug through all the latest data, trends, and odds to bring you some prime picks. Plus, every single bit of analysis you see here is backed by the awesome insights from Pine Sports AI JaXon. Let's get into it!
The Matt Olson Bomb! (Atlanta Braves)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +331
Book: Pinnacle
Statistical Analysis:
Recent Performance: Olson has hit a home run in 40% of his last 5 games and 50% of his last 10 games.
Season Trends: He has a 22.64% hit rate for home runs this season, averaging 0.23 home runs per game.
Opponent Matchup: Against the Boston Red Sox in 2025, Olson has hit 2 home runs in 3 games (66.67% hit rate).
Home Field Advantage: At home this season, Olson has a 24% hit rate for home runs.
Why This Bet is Worth Considering:
Olson's power-hitting ability is well-documented, and his recent success against the Red Sox (2 home runs in 3 games) makes him a strong candidate to go deep today. Additionally, his odds of +331 provide excellent value for a player with his slugging potential.
The Corbin Carroll Bomb! (Arizona DiamondBacks)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +350
Book: FanDuel
Statistical Analysis:
Recent Performance: Carroll has hit a home run in 20% of his last 5 games and 20% of his last 10 games.
Season Trends: He has a 23.64% hit rate for home runs this season, averaging 0.29 home runs per game.
Opponent Matchup: Against the Washington Nationals in 2025, Carroll has hit 1 home run in 3 games (33.33% hit rate).
Home Field Advantage: At home this season, Carroll has a 21.43% hit rate for home runs.
Why This Bet is Worth Considering:
Carroll's speed and power combination make him a dynamic threat at the plate. While his recent home run numbers are modest, his matchup against the Nationals and favorable odds of +350 make this a high-upside play.
The Shohei Ohtani Bomb
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +310
Best Book: BetMGM
Analysis:
Ohtani has been in excellent form, hitting the over on this prop in 60% of his last 5 games and 45% of his last 20 games. He leads the NL in home runs (20) and boasts a 96th percentile barrel rate, making him a consistent power threat. Facing the Yankees, who have allowed significant power to left-handed hitters, Ohtani is a strong candidate to go deep tonight.
The Honorable Mentions List!
Cal Raleigh (Seattle Mariners) vs. Minnesota Twins
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +310
Best Book: BetRivers
Isaac Paredes (Houston Astros) vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +520
Best Book: FanDuel
Taylor Ward (Los Angeles Angels) vs. Cleveland Guardians
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +522
Best Book: Pinnacle
Gavin Sheets (San Diego Padres) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +600
Best Book: BetMGM
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