Todays Top Home Run Props for MLB 6/15/25

Get ready, baseball fans! Your hunt for the ultimate home run prop bets ends here. You already know The Outlet Sports Ventures is your go-to for the sharpest predictions across all sports, and today, we're bringing you an article supercharged by Pine Sports AI JaXon. We've dug deep into batter-on-pitcher matchups, crunched those slugging percentages, and even peeked at pitcher hard-hit rates to bring you the absolute best dingers for today's MLB action. Each pick comes with all the juicy details and a direct link to place your bets. Let's hit it out of the park!

Get JaXon Today! Use Code “PLUG25” for 25% OFF TODAY!

The Bryan Reynolds Bomb (Pittsburgh Pirates)

• Odds:

  • Over 0.5 Home Runs: +625 at BetMGM

  • Under 0.5 Home Runs: -1000 at BetMGM

• Analysis: Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in 10% of his last 20 games and 11.59% for the season. Against the Cubs in 2025, his home run hit rate is 16.67%. While the over odds at +625 are intriguing, the data indicates this is also a low-probability outcome.

The Eugenio Suárez

(San Diego Padres)

• Matchup Details: Suárez faces Nick Pivetta, who has allowed a .315 slugging percentage to the Diamondbacks' roster. Suárez has a .455 slugging percentage against Pivetta in 13 plate appearances, including 1 home run.

• Recent Form: Suárez has hit the over on 0.5 home runs in 40% of his last 5 games and 40% of his last 10 games. His season average is 0.29 home runs per game.

• Park Factor: Chase Field is one of the most hitter-friendly parks, ranking 4th in MLB with a 103 park factor for home runs.

• Betting Odds: The best odds for Suárez to hit a home run are +442 at Pinnacle.

The Trevor Story Bomb (Boston RedSox)

• Odds:

  • Over 0.5 Home Runs: +1060 at FanDuel

  • Under 0.5 Home Runs: -1100 at BetMGM

• Analysis: Trevor Story has hit a home run in 20% of his last 5, 10, and 15 games, but his overall season hit rate for home runs is just 11.27%. Against the Yankees in 2025, he has a 20% hit rate for home runs. While the odds for the over are enticing at +1060, the data suggests this is a long-shot bet.

The Honorable Mentions!

Cody Bellinger (NY Yankees)

• No Link Use DK

Juan Soto (NY Mets)

• No Link Use FD

Kyle Schwarber (Philadelphia Phillies)

• Betting Odds: The best odds for Schwarber to hit a home run are +340 at BetRivers.