Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/17/25
- Lee Shipley
- May 17
- 2 min read
Alright, baseball fans, ready for some dingers today? You bet! I've teamed up with the seriously smart sports AI, JaXon, and my own baseball brain to cook up a juicy list of home run prop bets for today, May 17th, 2025. Think of it as the perfect blend: cutting-edge AI crunching all the advanced stats and a seasoned baseball eye hand-picking the absolute best opportunities. We're talking prime matchups, players on a power surge, and odds that just feel right. Ready to cash in on some long balls? Each pick comes with a direct link to place your bet – easy peasy. Let's go yard!
The Shohei Ohtani Bomb
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
Matchup: Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds: +202 for Over 0.5 Home Runs
Recent Performance: Ohtani has hit 10 home runs in his last 15 games, showcasing a 74.5% hard-hit rate and a 36.2% barrel rate. He leads the league with 16 home runs this season.
Matchup Insight: Ohtani has a strong history against Tyler Anderson, going 4-for-7 with three triples and a home run. Anderson has allowed four home runs to left-handed hitters in just 41 plate appearances this season.
Bet Link: Pinnacle
The Nathaniel Lowe Bomb (Washington Nationals)
Game: Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles
Start Time: 8:05 PM EDT
Home Run Prop Odds:
Statistical Analysis:
Recent Performance: Lowe has hit a home run in 20% of his last 5 games and 20% of his last 20 games.
Vs. Opponent: Against the Orioles in 2025, Lowe has a 50% hit rate for home runs (2 HRs in 4 games).
At Location: As a visitor, Lowe has hit a home run in 8.7% of games this season.
Recommendation:
While the odds for the over are enticing at +625, Lowe's recent performance and low hit rate as a visitor make this a high-risk bet. The under is heavily favored, but the payout is minimal.
The Francisco Lindor Bomb (NY Mets)
Game: New York Mets @ New York Yankees
Start Time: 1:05 PM EDT
Home Run Prop Odds:
Statistical Analysis:
Recent Performance: Lindor has hit a home run in 20% of his last 5 games and 30% of his last 10 games.
Vs. Opponent: Against the Yankees in 2025, Lindor has not hit a home run in 1 game. In 2024, he had a 25% hit rate (1 HR in 4 games).
At Location: As a visitor, Lindor has hit a home run in 4.35% of games this season.
Recommendation:
The over at +353 offers value, but Lindor's low hit rate as a visitor and limited success against the Yankees make this a risky bet. The under is the safer option, though the payout is minimal.
Personal HR Preferences!
JOSH JUNG HR +550 ⭐️⭐️⭐️(3/5)
KYLE ISBEL HR +1700 ⭐️⭐️(2/5)
ROWDY TELLEZ +600⭐️⭐️⭐️(3/5)
RHYS HOSKINS +475⭐️⭐️⭐️(3/5)
SEIYA SUZUKI +250 ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️(4/5)
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