Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov Prediction 5/30/25 French Open Tennis Picks

French Open: Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov

Friday, May 30, 2025

Betting Odds: Tommy Paul +110 / Karen Khachanov -133

Roland Garros is heating up, and we're about to witness a serious clash of titans! Get ready for some Friday fireworks as American fan-favorite Tommy Paul steps onto the clay to face off against the formidable Karen Khachanov in the third round of the French Open. This isn't just another match; it's a battle we've been waiting for, and we've got some thoughts on how it might all shake out.

Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov Head-To-Head

• Paul and Khachanov have met two times on tour. Paul leads 2-0 and beat Khachanov at this year's Madrid Open in three sets.

The Tommy Paul Preview!

Tommy Paul, the 12th seed at the French Open, is making some noise at Roland Garros for the second year in a row, reaching the third round of the main draw for the seventh time. He kicked things off with a solid win against Elmer Moller, but really showed his grit in the second round, pulling off an epic comeback against Marton Fucsovics after being down two sets to love.

That thrilling three-hour-plus victory, where he hit 33 winners and saved a handful of breakpoints, highlights why he's won 10 of his last 13 matches on clay. Now, he's got his sights set on making the second week of the French Open for the very first time as he faces Karen Khachanov. He's been tough to beat on clay this season, with only one of his three losses coming from outside the top 10.

The Karen Khachanov Preview!

Karen Khachanov, the 24th seed at the French Open, is no stranger to the later rounds at Roland Garros. He's battling his way to the third round for the seventh time, and he's even made it to the quarterfinals twice before, plus the last 16 four other times. This year, he kicked things off with a smooth straight-sets win over Aleksandar Vukic. His second-round match against Sebastian Ofner was a bit more of a rollercoaster – he was up two sets to one, dropped the fourth, and even went down 2-0 in the decider.

But then, Khachanov went on a six-game winning streak to seal the deal! In that marathon, he hit 45 winners and saved a good chunk of breakpoints. All in all, he's looking pretty solid on clay this season with nine wins from 14 matches.

The Tommy Paul vs Karen Khachanov Match Prediction!

THE PICK: Karen Khachanov in four sets

Look, Tommy Paul has been sneaky good on clay this year, racking up 10 wins from 13 matches – not many players hit double digits before the French Open. But, and this is a big "but," there are some whispers about him carrying an abdominal injury, which isn't exactly encouraging. He's heading into this match as the slight underdog, and let's be real, this is the one Grand Slam where he's never made it to the second week, even when he's been totally healthy. While this matchup should favor Tommy with his better movement and consistent forehand, that injury is a wrinkle we just can't ignore.