Wimbledon Best Bets for July 10, 2025

We're diving into the Wimbledon semifinals today, July 10, 2025, and things are looking super exciting. Even though I couldn't get direct betting links, I've done some digging through the latest news and odds to bring you my best picks. Let's get into it!

The Iga Swiatek vs. Belinda Bencic Match!

This women's semifinal promises an exciting clash, but all signs point to Iga Swiatek continuing her dominant run on grass.

• Recommendation: Iga Swiatek -4.5 Games

  • Line: Swiatek -4.5 games

Odds: Not explicitly provided for the spread, but Swiatek's moneyline is -300.

• Analysis: Swiatek has truly found her rhythm on grass this Wimbledon, a surface where she previously faced challenges. She's been dispatching opponents with remarkable efficiency, securing straight-set victories over formidable players like Danielle Collins, Clara Tauson, and Liudmila Samsonova. Her serve has been exceptional, leading the tournament with a 77.4% first service points won, and she boasts a high break percentage of 43.1% over the last 52 weeks. While Belinda Bencic is a tough competitor, she doesn't possess the aggressive, power-hitting style that typically troubles Swiatek. Swiatek's ability to win sets decisively, often 6-1 or 6-2, makes her a strong candidate to cover this game spread. She has already recorded six such dominant sets in this tournament.

The Sabalenka vs. Amanda Anisimova Match!

This semifinal features two powerful players, and while Aryna Sabalenka is the favorite, Amanda Anisimova has shown she can challenge the world No. 1.

• Recommendation: Amanda Anisimova to Win a Set

  • Line: Anisimova to win a set

Odds: Not explicitly provided for this specific prop, but Anisimova's moneyline is +220.

• Analysis: Despite Sabalenka being the favorite, Anisimova has a history of success against her, holding a 5-3 all-time record in their head-to-head matchups, including a 6-4, 6-2 win in Toronto in 2024. While many of Anisimova's wins came earlier in their careers, her current form suggests she's playing her best tennis. Sabalenka, despite her overall success, is noted to be less dominant on grass, and she has shown a tendency to "bleed mistakes" during matches. Anisimova's powerful backhand is a significant weapon that can push Sabalenka around. Given that Sabalenka conceded a set in her quarterfinal match, and Anisimova's ability to go "blow for blow" and redirect pace, it's highly probable Anisimova can secure at least one set in this semifinal.

• Recommendation: Aryna Sabalenka Over 12.5 Games

  • Line: Over 12.5 games

Odds: -110 (via Caesars, as mentioned in news)

• Analysis: This pick aligns perfectly with the expectation that Anisimova will make Sabalenka work hard for her victory. Even if Sabalenka wins, the narrative suggests it won't be a straightforward straight-sets affair. Anisimova's strong play and historical success against Sabalenka indicate she can push the match to a third set or at least force tiebreaks. Sabalenka's tendency to make mistakes and her less comfortable performance on grass, combined with Anisimova's current form, make it likely that the total number of games in the match will exceed 12.5. This bet offers a solid return and reflects the competitive nature expected from this semifinal.

Confidence Ratings for Your Wimbledon Bets:

1. Iga Swiatek -4.5 Games vs. Belinda Bencic

⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ (4 Stars)

2. Amanda Anisimova to Win a Set vs. Aryna Sabalenka

⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ (5 Stars)

3. Aryna Sabalenka Over 12.5 Games vs. Amanda Anisimova

⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ (4 Stars)