Wimbledon Picks: Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Prediction 06/30/2025

Match Details:

• Who: Fabio Fognini vs. Carlos Alcaraz

• Date: Monday, June 30, 2025

• Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET

• Tournament: Wimbledon Men's Singles 2025

• Round: First round

• Where to Watch: ESPN +
  

Get ready, because the reigning Wimbledon champion Carlos Alcaraz is back on Monday, June 30th, and he's kicking off his tournament against Fabio Fognini in the first round of the 2025 Championships. We've got all the insights you need, including our top prediction and a solid pick for the Alcaraz vs. Fognini match.

The Head-to-Head Trend

• Alcaraz has a perfect 2-0 record against Fognini in their previous matches, beating Fognini in two clay matches, both in Rio de Janeiro in back-to-back seasons. However, they have never played on grass and haven’t met since 2023. Still, Alcaraz is expected to charge past the veteran on the grass.

Carlos Alcaraz Match Preview!

Carlos Alcaraz is heading into Wimbledon 2025 as the second seed and a two-time defending champion, aiming for an incredible third consecutive title. He's been on a roll, fresh off a grueling French Open victory against Jannik Sinner in the longest final ever at Roland Garros. Alcaraz has also beaten tennis legend Novak Djokovic in the last two Wimbledon finals.

He's clearly comfortable on grass, having just won the Queen's Club ATP 500 for the second time. With an impressive 18-match winning streak and a stellar 42-5 record this season, Alcaraz is definitely the player to watch!

Fabio Fognini Match Preview!

It looks like this might be Fabio Fognini's last dance at Wimbledon. Currently ranked 130th, he's playing in the main draw for the 15th time, and there's a strong feeling he'll retire at the end of the season. He's been showing signs of wear and tear, and his motivation has seemed to waver. Plus, he's already played his final Italian Open, which could be a big hint about his retirement plans.

He's not exactly coming in hot, having lost his last five matches and failing to win a single grass-court match in the lead-up tournaments in Stuttgart, Nottingham, and Mallorca. Last year, he actually had a good run at Wimbledon, reaching the third round, but he'll need to turn things around quickly if he wants to repeat that performance.

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The Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio Fognini Match Prediction!

The Pick: Under 27.5 games in the match -115

Given Alcaraz's incredible season, it's pretty safe to say he's got this match locked down. He's practically unbeatable, especially since April, and he'll be kicking things off on Centre Court on Monday. While Fognini's a fun player to watch, he's not much of a threat on grass, and at 38, he just can't keep up with Alcaraz's intensity. Expect a quick and easy win for Alcaraz – I'd even bet on the match finishing in under 27.5 games.