Wimbledon Semifinals: Best Bets & Props for July 11, 2025

Lee Shipley
Jul 10
3 min read

Wimbledon Semifinals: Best Bets for July 11, 2025 The Outlet Sports Ventures

Wimbledon's semifinals on July 11, 2025, are gonna be epic! We've been absolutely crushing it with our Wimbledon picks so far, and we're ready to keep that winning streak alive all the way through the finals. Get ready for some serious action as Jannik Sinner goes head-to-head with Novak Djokovic, and Carlos Alcaraz takes on Taylor Fritz. Let's break down the best bets for these incredible matchups!

The Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic Match!

This semifinal clash is set to be a true battle of generations, with the world No. 1 Jannik Sinner facing the seven-time Wimbledon champion Novak Djokovic. While Sinner recently defeated Djokovic at the French Open, the grass court at Wimbledon presents a different challenge, and Djokovic's experience on this surface is

Over 0.5 Tiebreakers
Line: -140
- Analysis: This pick is strongly supported by their head-to-head history. These two titans have consistently pushed each other to the brink, resulting in a tiebreaker in each of their last three encounters and five of their last seven. Both Sinner and Djokovic are renowned for their exceptional serving, which becomes even more potent on Wimbledon's grass courts. Djokovic, despite a recent "nasty fall" in his quarterfinal and subsequent canceled practice, relies heavily on pinpoint serving to conserve energy, while Sinner's serve has proven incredibly difficult for Djokovic to break. The slicker conditions on grass further enhance the effectiveness of their serves, making it challenging for either player to gain a decisive break. This sets the stage for tight sets that are highly likely to culminate in a tiebreaker.
Over 38.5 Games
Line: -115
- Analysis: Considering the expected intensity and the high likelihood of tiebreakers, this match is poised to be a marathon. The oddsmakers are not expecting "one-way traffic" like their recent French Open match, indicating a very competitive affair. One analysis even predicts a narrow 3-2 victory for Djokovic, which would comfortably push the game total well over 38.5. Djokovic's seven Wimbledon titles speak to his mastery on grass, and while Sinner is the world No. 1, Djokovic's ability to elevate his game on this surface, coupled with his sheer determination and potential political motivations, points to a prolonged battle. Even with Sinner's recent dominance, Djokovic's experience and tactical prowess on grass will ensure every game is fiercely contested. contested.

The Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Match!

Carlos Alcaraz, aiming for his third consecutive Wimbledon title, faces a formidable challenge in Taylor Fritz, who has been in exceptional form on grass this season.

Over 3.5 Sets
Line: -110
- Analysis: While Carlos Alcaraz is the heavy favorite and aiming for significant history, his path through this tournament hasn't been without its bumps. He's shown a tendency to drop sets, having done so against Fabio Fognini, Jan-Lennard Struff, and Andrey Rublev. On the other side, Taylor Fritz has been in phenomenal form on grass this season, securing titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. His serve is a major weapon, boasting an 89.8% hold percentage over the last 52 weeks, making him incredibly tough to break. Furthermore, Fritz has shown significant improvements in his return game, which could exploit Alcaraz's recent struggles with his serve. This match is expected to be more competitive than the moneyline suggests, with Fritz having a strong chance to snatch at least one set, pushing the match beyond three sets.