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A Trio of NHL Player Props to Fluff Your Pockets With

A busy slate on the ice evening means there is money to be made, and finding it is what I have hopefully done with this trio of (+) wagers. The current posted plays record sits at 0-0-0, as this is my first post on the website (pleasure to meet you). If by chance you enjoy my picks and analysis, or even better if I can win you some money, please do consider subscribing to my newsletter! Just click the button to subscribe!


But now enough of the shameless plugs, let us get to that action....


Gustav Nyquist Over 0.5 Goals +360 (1/2 Unit)

The Predators forward is skating on the first line and is going up against a Ducks team who so far this season, despite the points total, has struggled to carry play. Those two factors alone when factoring in the price probably make this bet worth a sprinkle, but when you look at how well Nyquist has played this season, it begins to make your mouth water. Despite only scoring one goal this season, Nyquist has created 3.7 expected goals, and while he’s not known as a sniper by any means, the idea his 3.7% shooting percentage will persist is unreasonable. Beyond that though, the Ducks are 22nd in the league in terms of expected goals against, and have the 28th worst Corsi%. They are getting the ice tilted against them far to often, and Nyquist might be able to take advantage in a 1st line role.

Jakub Vrana Over 1.5 SOGs x Steven Stamkos Over 2.5 SOGs +176 (1/2 Unit)

A pair of teams who are playing high-event hockey like the Blues and Lightning, who are both in the bottom 5 in terms of shots allowed per game, was always going to be a game I was targeting for player props. And I’ve got a pretty straight forward for choosing Stamkos and Vrana to be firing the puck. Firstly Vrana over the past 5 games has gone over this number in each game, and on the season he is second on the Blues in terms of shot attempts per 60 minutes. For Stamkos, it is very much a similar story, the winger is behind only Kucherov in shot attempts this season for the Lightning and has managed to go over 2.5 shots on goal in 4 of the 6 games in November. So in a game I expect to have plenty of shot attempts, I reduced the juice by pairing my two favorite options together in terms of relative price.

Jason Robertson Over 3.5 SOGs x Jason Zucker Over 1.5 SOGs +240 (1/2 Unit)

Along the lines of what I spoke about with Stamkos/Vrana, I project this game to be more high-event than the market does. Despite an impressive record to start the season, the Stars have allowed the opposition to get 32.6 shots on goal per game this season. One area in particular that’s bled shots is the Stars third-line, who are accounting for just 42% of the shot attempts, which is likely to be the line Zucker sees most tonight. Meanwhile Robertson, despite his slow start in terms of both points and shooting metrics still profiles as a guy who should get more pucks on the net. He’s got a very good shot, he plays big minutes, and most importantly he gets to be the trigger man against a Coyotes powerplay who is giving up the most shots in the league when down a man.
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