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Writer's pictureLee (The Plug) Mello

Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos Prediction NFL Picks 11/17/24


 Denver Broncos (5-5) vs Atlanta Falcons (6-4) Game Info: Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Empower Field at Mile High) Betting Odds: Denver Broncos -2.5/ Atlanta Falcons +2.5 --- Over/Under: 43.5

Denver Broncos (5-5) vs Atlanta Falcons (6-4)


Game Info: Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 4:05 pm (Empower Field at Mile High)


Betting Odds: Denver Broncos -2.5/ Atlanta Falcons +2.5 --- Over/Under: 43.5


The Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos Game Preview

The Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos

The Atlanta Falcons and Denver Broncos are facing off this Sunday in week 11 of the NFL at Empower Field at Mile High. Want to know who might win? Check out this Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos prediction and pick!


Matchup/League Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, the Broncos rank 3rd in the NFL in total punt yards (2245) this season.

  • Heading into Week 11, the Broncos rank 3rd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.8) this season.

  • Heading into Week 11, the Falcons rank 29th in the NFL in total punt yards (1330) this season.

  • Heading into Week 11, the Falcons rank 4th in the NFL in 4th down percentage (70.6%) this season.


The Atlanta Falcons Team Preview

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Saints, beat the Cowboys, and play the Chargers next. The Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Kirk Cousins is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 2,634 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Darnell Mooney and Drake London have combined for 1,333 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 34 receptions.


So, the Atlanta Falcons are running for about 124.7 yards per game, and Bijan Robinson is killing it with 748 yards and 6 touchdowns. On the defensive side, Atlanta is giving up 23.6 points and 352.8 yards per game. Kaden Elliss is the top tackler with 88 tackles, Grady Jarrett has 2.5 sacks, and Jessie Bates III has 2 interceptions. Can the Falcons continue to play at this level?


Atlanta Falcons Player Props

  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in four of the Falcons' last five games.

  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons' last five games.

  • Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Falcons' last five games.

  • Kirk Cousins has recorded 265+ passing yards in four of his last five November road appearances.


The Denver Broncos Team Preview!

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos lost to the Ravens and Chiefs, and they play the Raiders next. The Denver Broncos have split their last 4 home games. Bo Nix is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 1,968 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Courtland Sutton and Javonte Williams have combined for 791 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Devaughn Vele has 22 receptions.


So, the Denver Broncos are running for an average of 117.1 yards per game, and Williams is the top guy with 388 yards and 2 touchdowns. On the defensive side, Denver is giving up 17.7 points and 295.7 yards per game. Brandon Jones is leading the Broncos with 74 tackles, Nik Bonitto has 7 sacks, and Pat Surtain II has nabbed 3 interceptions.


Denver Broncos Player Props

  • Javonte Williams has recorded 35+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Broncos as home favorites.

  • Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 25+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos' last five games as favorites.

  • Bo Nix has scored a touchdown in three of the Broncos' last four games against NFC opponents.

  • Bo Nix has recorded 206+ passing yards in each of the Broncos' last five Sunday games.



The Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos

Game Prediction!

Atlanta Falcons vs Denver Broncos Prediction

The Pick: Atlanta Falcons ML +145


Hey, check this out - the Falcons seem like the stronger team right now, winning 3 out of their last 4 away games. Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos have been struggling on offense, only scoring a total of 24 points in their last 2 games. I mean, yeah, those games were against tough opponents like the Ravens and Chiefs, but still, the Broncos are ranked 24th in total offense and 22nd in scoring offense. I get that the Broncos have a solid defense and home advantage, but it just feels like the Falcons are the better bet here.


Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

  • The Broncos have lost five of their last seven November games as home favorites.

  • The underdogs have won four of the Broncos' last six Week 11 games.

  • The underdogs have covered the spread in 10 of the Broncos' last 11 Week 11 games.

  • The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight November games as home favorites.

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