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Browns vs Texans Plugs Prediction - NFL Picks 1/13/24

( Pic - TheOutletSV.com )

- Houston Texans (10-7) vs Cleveland Browns (11-6)

- Game Info: Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 4:30 pm (NRG Stadium)


📊 Betting Odds: Houston Texans +2.5 / Cleveland Browns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 44.5


The SV Game Preview

( Pic - CBSsports.com )

  • We have The Cleveland Browns going head to head with the Houston Texans in the AFC Wild Card Round at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Cleveland has won four of their last five games, while Houston has won three of their last four. Let’s take a look at the betting angles and give a winning prediction. 

  • Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texans ranked 31st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game during the reg. season (6.4).

  • The Texans ranked T2nd in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game during the reg. season (8.9).

  • The Browns ranked 1st in the NFL in time of possession per game during the reg. season (32:18).

  • The Browns ranked T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage during the reg. season (64.7).


The Browns Team Preview

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  • The Cleveland Browns come into this game sitting at 11-6 on the season and they just finished second in the AFC North standings. Cleveland finished the regular season by winning four of their last five games, with the wins coming against the Jets, Texans, Bears, and Jaguars. The Browns have had to deal with a number of injuries this season, but they continue to win games and they will not be easy to beat in these playoffs. The Cleveland offense is scoring 23.3 points per game with 217.2 passing yards per game and 118.6 rushing yards per game. Joe Flacco has thrown for 1,616 yards, 13 touchdowns, and eight interceptions for the Browns this season. Jerome Ford has rushed for 813 yards and four touchdowns, while Amari Cooper has caught 72 passes for 1,250 yards and five scores. The Cleveland defense is allowing 21.3 points against per game this season. 

  • Cleveland Browns Team Facts

  • The Browns have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AFC South opponents.

  • The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.

  • The Browns have won the first half in each of their last six games as favorites following a road loss.

  • The Browns have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as road favorites.

  • The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites against AFC South opponents.

  • Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Jerome Ford has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns' last four games against AFC South opponents.

  • Elijah Moore has recorded 42+ receiving yards in five of the Browns' last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.

  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 230+ passing yards in each of his five previous January appearances against AFC opponents.

  • Nick Chubb has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances following a loss.

  • Nick Chubb has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances against AFC South opponents.

  • Nick Chubb has recorded 91+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances following a loss.

  • Deshaun Watson has thrown two or more touchdowns in 12 of his last 15 appearances following a loss.

  • David Bell recorded a career-high 2 receiving touchdowns in his previous game (including playoffs).


The Texans Team Preview

( Pic - NFL.com )

  • The Houston Texans come into this game sitting at 10-7 on the year and they finished first in the AFC South standings. Houston was able to beat Indianapolis in the final week of the regular season, while Jacksonville lost to Tennessee, to clinch the division. The Texans have had an up and down season, but they did finish the regular season by winning three of their last four games. Those three wins came against the Colts and Titans (twice), while the loss came at home against this Cleveland team. The Texans offense is averaging 22.2 points per game with 245.5 passing yards per game and 96.9 rushing yards per game. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Texans this season. Devin Singletary has rushed for 898 yards and four touchdowns, while Nico Collins has caught 80 passes for 1,297 yards and eight scores. The Houston defense is giving up 20.8 points against per game this year. 

  • Houston Texans Team Facts

  • The Texans have lost each of their last five games at NRG Stadium when playing with a rest advantage.

  • The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games when playing with a rest advantage.

  • The Texans have lost the first half in each of their last five January home games against AFC opponents.

  • The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Texans' last two Wild Card Round games.

  • Four of the Texans' last five postseason games at NRG Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

  • Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Nico Collins has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven home appearances against AFC opponents.

  • Nico Collins has recorded 80+ receiving yards in five of the Texans' last six home games against AFC opponents.

  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 249+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Texans as underdogs following a win.

  • Dameon Pierce has recorded 14+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight home appearances.

  • Davis Mills has thrown three touchdowns in two of the Texans' last three January games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

  • Davis Mills has recorded 21+ completions in each of his four previous January appearances.

  • Desmond King II is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).


The Plugs Game Prediction

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💎 TEXANS +3.5 -152 (1u)

💎NICO COLLINS OVER 5.5 REC -115

💎DALTON SCHULTZ 1st TD +1100

  • I plan on starting this Wild Card weekend with a bang in this matchup and I am very excited to see how this game plays out today! Cleveland beat Houston last game by a score of 36-22 back on Christmas Eve, but that result means absolutely nothing now. Both teams were able to finish the season playing some very good ball, but Houston will have the home field advantage once again in this game and I think it will play a big part in the outcome of this game today! I really like how Stroud has looked this season and I don’t know how much I trust Flacco in a big game like this against a pretty decent team! I know that this Cleveland defense is solid, but they haven’t been as dominant as we thought they would be and we have seen some struggles from them. I really like Houston getting the points at home in a dog role here, their looking for pay back and know how big this game is, I expect them to come out heavy here at home.


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