top of page

Hardee Picks NFL Week 10 Sunday Slate Rundown

Updated: Nov 13, 2023

11/12/23 - Week 10 - 12 Games - 9:30am, 1pm, 4pm, SNF


The SV Outlet Preview

  • I am writing my 2nd weekly write up for the NFL Sunday slate. Last week, we ate on. our looks and went over 70% on overall takes. We will continue to break down each Sunday games with injuries, team-by-team game outlook, and key players. We will. have my best bets per game, a 4-leg Parlay that we can squad ride, and some odds to juicy not to sprinkle on. All odds, lines, and plays will be from Draft Kings Sportsbook. Let's eat and give some love in the comments and in my DM's on X @HardeePicks.


9:30 am Germany Game

  • Indianapolis Colts (-2) vs New England Patriots O/U 43

    • Injuries

      • IND Colts

        • WR Josh Downs (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • LB Zaire Franklin (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Alec Pierce (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB JuJu Brents (quad): OUT

        • TE Drew Ogletree (foot): OUT

      • NE Patriots

        • OT Trent Brown (ankle, personal): OUT

        • CB JC Jackson (not injury-related): OUT

        • WR DeVante Parker (concussion): OUT

        • DL Christian Barmore (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Myles Bryant (chest): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Demario Douglas (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Jack Jones (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Jonathan Jones (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Matthew Slater (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • OL Vederian Lowe (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • DT Deatrich Wise (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • IND Colts

        • This Colts team is 4-5 and coming off a win versus the Carolina Panthers. In that game, Minshew threw for 127 yards, Jonathan Taylor had 5 receptions with a TD, and the defense had 4 sacks and 3 interceptions, 2 of which went for a pick-6 by veteran Kenny Moore. This team is will have to live through the RBs JT and Zack Moss with more than likely no Josh Downs and a limited Alec Pierce.

      • NE Patriots

        • This Patriots team is 2-7 and coming off a loss to the Washington Commanders. The Patriots defense did not lose the game for them as they had 3 sacks, an interception, and held WSH to 20 points. The NE offense has been lackluster all year. Rhamondre Stevenson has 9 rush attempts for 87 yards, but 64 yards came on a long TD run. This now marks 8 of the 9 games NE has played to result in under 21 points scored.

    • Game Outlook

      • With injuries on the offensive side of the ball for both teams and both teams coming off lackluster offensive production, I see this game to be dominated by the defense. This game seems like the takeaway battle will be key to the victory. No JC Jackson in this game due to disciplinary reasons and his presence in the secondary will be missed. This battle of sub .500 teams will be a very different feeling to last weeks powerhouse Germany matchup.

    • Key Players

      • The key players for this game are Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman, and Demario Douglas. JT has seemed to take back his starting position last week, and the books have really raised his lines due to this. I think when you have the 2nd leading rusher in the NFL in Zack Moss, you do not just limit his touches and lean on only 1 back. His under rush yards at 66.5 is something to consider. Pittman is the only starting WR for the Colts not on the injury report. No JC Jackson and a limited Josh Downs, Minshew will lean on Pittman like he did last week. His Over 5.5 receptions is 6-3 on the year. Lastly, Demario Douglas is on the injury report but is expected to play. He really became Mac Jones go to last two weeks with the injuries to other WRs. Getting his Over 4.5 receptions at plus money is worth a look. He cashed this in back-to-back games and has 6+ targets in 3 straight.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be the NE Patriots Team Total Under 21.5 (-135). They have only went over this mark this season in the Bills rivalry game. I like getting the 3 touchdown hook as well for not too much additional juice. A struggling offense with main players out and an international game pushes me to follow the 89% season long trend.




1pm Games

  • Houston Texans vs Cincinnati Bengals (-6) O/U 47

    • Injuries

      • HOU Texans

        • FB Andrew Beck (ankle, elbow): OUT

        • WR Nico Collins (calf): OUT

        • K Ka’imi Fairbairn (quadricep): OUT

        • LB Jake Hansen (hamstring): OUT

        • TE Brevin Jordan (foot): OUT

        • CB Steven Nelson (back, neck): QUESTIONABLE

        • RB Dameon Pierce (ankle): OUT

        • LB Henry To’oTo’o (concussion): OUT

        • S Jimmie Ward (hamstring): OUT

        • WR Robert Woods (foot): QUESTIONABLE

      • CIN Bengals

        • WR Ja’Marr Chase (back): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Tee Higgins (hamstring): OUT

        • DE Sam Hubbard (ankle): OUT

        • DT Josh Tupou (shoulder): DOUBTFUL

        • WR Charlie Jones (thumb): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • HOU Texans

        • This Texans team is 4-4 and coming off a great comeback win versus the TB Bucs. CJ Stroud barring an injury or the world collapsing will be this seasons Rookie of the Year. But his top target, Nico Collins, is out this game. I expect him to lean on Tank Dell and Dalton Shultz. As for the defense, the D-Line has a top 5 QB pressure rate this season, but the secondary is way weaker. They Texans secondary is 2nd worst in allowed completion percentage and in rate of defending TEs. Stroud will have to keep up with Burrow to have a good chance.

      • CIN Bengals

        • This Bengals team is 5-3 and coming off a great win versus the Bills, but at what costs. Tee Higgins is out and Chase's status is up in the air. The Bengals are now on a 4 game winning streak, and Burrow's calf is 100%. He has had a QBR over 100 in 3 of the last 4. His TEs shinned in the win last week, and Cade Otton just torched this Texans Defense. Burrow in his last 5 games has been dominating against pressure and blitz. As for Cinncy's defense, they are top 5 at guarding outside WRs and top 3 at guarding slot WRs, but they are very weak at defending the TE.

    • Game Outlook

      • This game is a battle of the future star QBs. Both teams struggling with skill position injuries, but Burrow and Stroud have the tools to produce wins. I think TEs will dominate on both teams and Joe Mixon will be utilized especially if Chase does not play. I am excited for this star QB matchup.

    • Key Players

      • My key players for this game are Irv Smith Jr. and Dalton Shultz. Irv Smith has only played in 5 games this season, but has 4+ targets in 4 of them. With how TEs have been producing versus the Texans, his Over 2.5 receptions at plus money is a strong consideration, especially with no Higgins, limited Chase, and the Texans ability to shut down slot receivers like Tyler Boyd. Next, Dalton Shultz has a great matchup. He has had 60+ receiving yards in 3 of the last 4 and no Nico Collins opens up a lot of yards and targets. His Rec yards line at 49.5 is a great play.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Dalton Shultz Over 49.5 REC yards (-115). See key matchups for reasoning.


  • New Orleans Saints (-2.5) vs Minnesota Vikings O/U 41

    • Injuries

      • NO Saints

        • DE Isaiah Foskey (quadricep): OUT

        • RB Kendre Miller (ankle): OUT

        • FB Adam Prentice (knee): QUESTIONABLE

      • MIN Vikings

        • WR Justin Jefferson (hamstring): OUT

        • TE T.J. Hockenson (ribs): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR K.J. Osborn (concussion): QUESTIONABLE

        • QB Jaren Hall (concussion): OUT

        • DL Dean Lowry (groin): DOUBTFUL

        • LB Brian Asamoah II (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • G Chris Reed (foot): OUT

    • Team Outlooks

      • NO Saints

        • This Saints team is 5-4 and coming off a win versus the CHI Bears. They are now all alone in 1st place of the NFC South. Starting with the offense, Carr has 4 TDs and 0 INTs over the last 2 games. As for skill players, Alvin Kamara, Taysom Hill, and Chris Olave will lead this offense. To target one of them, Olave had 5 receptions for 46 yards and a TD last week. As for defense, they are dominant versus wide receivers ranking as the 2nd best WR prevention rate. As a counter, they are 25th in TE prevention rate. They are top 10 in points per game (19.0), 3rd down defense, and completion rate against.

      • MIN Vikings

        • This Vikings team is 5-4 and coming off a thrilling win versus the ATL Falcons. MIN is now on a 4 game winning streak. Josh Dobbs looked like himself in the purple and yellow, even without any practice time. He came off the bench and went 20-30 with 158 yards, 2 TDs, 66 rush yards, and a rushing TD. His legs will be a big part of the game plan as CHI QB Bagent ran for 70 yards versus the Saints last week. At the WR position, Jordan Addison is the number 1 with injuries. Last week, he had 5 receptions for 52 yards. Brandon Powell will be the number 2. TJ Hockenson has been extremely utilized but is questionable. He has 5 straight games with 50+ receiving yards and only went under that mark twice this season. As for the defense, they are 4th in limiting RB receiving yards which is big in this matchup. Last week, they held Bijan Robinson to 8 yards on 4 targets.

    • Game Outlook

      • This game will be one that shows how strong Josh Dobbs is. Dobbs gets a full week of practice but very limited targets to connect with. The Saints look to maintain their division lead. Both teams need this win to maintain playoff hopes, but I think the team with the stronger QB and less skill player injuries will prevail.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Taysom Hill, Alvin Kamara, and TJ Hockenson. Taysom Hill has a rushing TD in 3 straight games, 50+ rush yards in back-to-back games, and 1+ reception in 8 straight. Alvin Kamara has 44+ receiving yards in 3 straight game and 5+ targets in 5 of 6 games. TJ Hockenson was highlighted in the Vikings game outlook.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be TJ Hockenson Over 49.5 receiving yards (-115). Reasonings in Vikings outlook.


  • Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) O/U 38.5

    • Injuries

      • GB Packers

        • CB Jaire Alexander CB (shoulder): DOUBTFUL

        • DE Kenny Clark (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

        • S Rudy Ford (calf): QUESTIONABLE

        • C Josh Myers (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Yosh Nijman (back): QUESTIONABLE

        • OG Jon Runyan (neck): QUESTIONABLE

        • LB Quay Walker (groin): DOUBTFUL

      • PIT Steelers

        • DT Montravius Adams (ankle): OUT

        • S Minkah Fitzpatrick (hamstring) OUT

    • Team Outlooks

      • GB Packers

        • This Packers team is 3-5 and coming off a win versus the Stafford-less LA Rams. The lone bright spot for this offense is Aaron Jones looked healthy and with a full workload last week. They have not scored 21 points or more in 6 straight games. Jordan Love got sacked 4 times last week. As for defense, they are top 12 in holding RBs in YPC (yards per carry) and they are top 10 in passing yards per attempt and passing yards per game.

      • PIT Steelers

        • This Steelers team is 5-3 and coming off a win versus the Titans. This PIT team is on record pace, in a negative way. Their offense has not produced more offensive yards than their opponent once. No team has done this and been above .500 in NFL history until now. Diontae Johnson is back in full swing. He had 9 targets, 7 receptions, 90 yards and a TD last week. In addition, Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris combined for 157 yards and a TD on the ground. This PIT defense is the heart of this team. They have held teams to under 21 points in 5 of the last 6 games. In addition, they are top 10 in sacks and QB hits led by TJ Watt who is t-2nd in both categories.

    • Game Outlook

      • A stout defense, and two struggling offenses. Turnovers and QB pressure will be a main factor in this game result. I expect Jaylen Warren and Diontae Johnson to produce for PIT offense, and TJ Watt to come up and shut down the GB offense.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are TJ Watt and Aaron Jones. TJ Watt is t-2nd in sacks and this Packers O-line is extremely banged up. I can see him getting home for at least one. Aaron Jones is back to full strength and in two games he had a full workload, he is averaging 113.5 rush+receiving yards. His line is at 82.5 which can be a strong play.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be the Packers Team Total Under 19.5 (-148). Jordan Love has not been the answer for this team, and PIT defense has led through this run. I see them struggling again and with a 38.5 total, I love this play.


  • Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) O/U 39

    • Injuries

      • TEN Titans

        • QB Ryan Tannehill (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Treylon Burks (concussion): OUT

        • CB Sean Murphy-Bunting (thumb): OUT

        • OT Nicholas Petit-Frere (shoulder): OUT

        • G Daniel Brunskill (ankle): OUT

        • S Mike Brown (ankle): OUT

        • CB Anthony Kendall (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

      • TB Buccaneers

        • CB Carlton Davis (toe): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Jamel Dean (concussion): QUESTIONABLE

        • G Matt Feiler (knee): DOUBTFUL

        • DT Logan Hall (groin): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Trey Palmer (neck, illness): QUESTIONABLE

        • DT Calijah Kancey (quad): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Josh Hayes (concussion): OUT

    • Team Outlooks

      • TEN Titans

        • This Titans team is 3-5 and coming off a lose to the Steelers. They held that team to 20 points. Levis threw for 262 yards, Derrick Henry ran for 75 yards. Tennessee defense has been very weak especially in the passing game to WRs.

      • TB Buccaneers

        • This Buccaneers team is 3-5 and coming off a loss to the Texans where they put up 38 points. Mike Evans had 4 receptions for 87 yards and Cade Otton had 6 receptions for 70 yards and 2 TDs last week. The Bucs defense gave up 470 passing yards and 5 passing TDs. As they are top 13 in yards per carry prevention and ranked 1st in EPA (Expected Points Added), they ranked 30th in EPA against the pass.

    • Game Outlook

      • Will Levis has a chance to prove himself again, but he will have to beat them with his arm and not with Derrick Henry's legs. The Bucs have the largest run to pass EPA funnel in the league, and the Texans just exploited this. Will Levis and D Hop could return to the form of two weeks ago and produce big time. The Bucs can keep up scoring wise, but their defense has to find a way to stop the passing game. Mike Evans and Rachaad White will be heavily utilized.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Rachaad White and Will Levis. Rachaad White has 45+ REC yards in 3 straight games, and Jaylen Warren and Najee Harris just torched this defense. Will Levis passing line is at 222.5 yards. He has gone over this line in both games this season, and the passing game will need to relied on.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Will Levis passing yards Over 222.5 (-115). See above for details.


  • San Francisco 49ers (-3) vs Jacksonville Jaguars O/U 44.5

    • Injuries

      • SF 49ers

        • OG Aaron Banks (toe): OUT

        • DE Robert Beal Jr. (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • DT Javon Hargrave (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • DE Drake Jackson (knee): OUT

        • CB Darrell Luter Jr. (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Trent Williams (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Samuel Womack (knee): QUESTIONABLE

      • JAX Jaguars

        • CB Tyson Campbell (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • S Andre Cisco (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • G Ezra Cleveland (toe): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Zay Jones (knee): OUT

        • S Daniel Thomas (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • SF 49ers

        • This 49ers team is 5-3 and coming off a bye week and 3 straight losses. In those games, Brock Purdy has 3 TDs and 5 INTs. Offensively, SF put up 30+ points in 5 of 8 games. Christian McCaffrey is still on a TD streak and has 13 this season, but CMC has under 60 rush yards in 4 straight games. Aiyuk is averaging 5 receptions per game and 88.6 yards. Deebo Samuel has not played since week 6. Their defense has been strong, holding teams to 16.5 PPG and has a top 5 pressure rate. This will be Chase Young's debut on the d-line.

      • JAX Jaguars

        • This Jaguars team is 6-2 and coming off a 5 game winning streak. Jacksonville has scored 23+ points in 5 of 8 games this season. Trevor Lawrence has 4 INTs this season, 3 of which came under pressure. The Jags defense has been elite. They have a top run defense, and have held opposing QBs to a QBR of sub-80. They are 1st in takeaways and are holding teams to 19.5 PPG.

    • Game Outlook

      • In this game, the defense that prevails will take this one. It is a matchup of top fire powers on both sides of the ball, and coaching will be huge in this game. The 3 game slide for the 49ers is eating at that team and they are ready to shut up the media. T Law is ready to prove himself as a top 5 QB with true MVP and Super Bowl caliber talent. This will be a very exciting watch.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Josh Allen vs RT Colton McKivitz, CB Darius Williams, and Travis Etienne. Josh Allen has 2+ sacks in 3 games and 9 in total. Colton McKivitz is the only SF lineman to give up more than 1 sack, which he's given up 6. Next, Jags CB Darius Williams has a QBR against under 60 this season with. 3 INTs and is 1st in passes defended. Lastly, Etienne will need to be big if the Jaguars want to win. He has 7 TDs on the year and is averaging 72.8 yards per game.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Josh Allen Over 0.25 sack (-115). See above for reasons.


  • Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) O/U 38

    • Injuries

      • CLE Browns

        • WR David Bell (knee): OUT

        • WR Marquise Goodwin (concussion): OUT

        • OT Dawand Jones (knee, shoulder): OUT

      • BAL Ravens

        • RB Keaton Mitchell (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Jalyn Armour-Davis (illness): QUESTIONABLE

        • CB Marlon Humphrey (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Morgan Moses (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • CLE Browns

        • This Browns team is 5-3 and coming off a win versus Arizona. Deshaun Watson is back and Amari Cooper is coming off an outstanding game. They look to bounce back from the 28-3 loss the Ravens handed them earlier in the year. This team will be led by their defense. They are 3rd in PPG (17.4), 1st in yards per game, 6th in sacks, 2nd in QB pressure rate, 4th best versus TE, 3rd best versus WRs, and oh yeah they have Myles Garrett. Garrett has the most forced fumbles in the NFL.

      • BAL Ravens

        • This Ravens team is 7-2 and coming off a stellar win versus Seattle. BAL runs off their ground game with Gus Edwards and Keaton Mitchell. Lamar Jackson has the highest completion percentage in the league. Mark Andrews has 60+ yards in 5 of the last 6 games. The one main downside is Lamar Jackson is he his tied for 1st in fumbles lost with 6. Defensively, they might be the best team in the NFL. They are 1st in PPG (13.8), 2nd in YPG, 1st in sacks, 1st in defending the WR, and 2nd in defending the TE.

    • Game Outlook

      • The Ravens are dominating some good teams, but division rivals are hard to beat twice. These defensive powerhouses will battle and try to shut them down. I think this will be close than last outing, but I still think the Ravens pull this one out.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Mark Andrews and Justin Madubuike. Mark Andrews 60+ yards trend was stated above. As for Madubuike, he has a half sack or more in 6 straight games and 7 of 9 games this year. He had a full sack versus the Browns earlier this year and has 7.5 on the year. His Over 0.25 sack line is at +124 which I love.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Mark Andrews Over 46.5 receiving yards (-115). As with above, this year he had 5 receptions for 80 yards and 2 TDs versus CLE this season.



4pm Games

  • Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) vs Arizona Cardinals O/U 43.5

    • Injuries

      • ATL Falcons

        • WR Mack Hollins (ankle): OUT

        • CB Dee Alford (ankle): OUT

        • DT David Onyemata (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

      • ARI Cardinals

        • QB Kyler Murray (knee): GOOD TO GO

        • RB James Conner (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT DJ Humphries (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • WR Michael Wilson (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

        • G Will Hernandez (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Carter O’Donnell (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

        • TE Geoff Swaim (back): QUESTIONABLE

        • LB Ezekiel Turner (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • OL Tystan Colon (calf): OUT

        • RB Emari Demercado (toe): OUT

    • Team Outlooks

      • ATL Falcons

        • This Falcons team is 4-5 and coming off a loss to the Vikings with Joshua Dobbs. I know different play style, rosters, and coaching, but you just lost to Dobbs and now you go against the Cardinals who replace Dobbs with Kyler Murray. The only bright spot for this team is that Drake London is back. Bijan Robinson had 11 rushes for 51 yards, but was lackluster due to Art Smith's stubbornness. Although this team is only 1 game back in the division, they are sliding backwards from the decent start they had.

      • ARI Cardinals

        • This Cardinals team is 1-8 and coming off a lose to CLE. This team gets Kyler Murray back, and have not played like a team hoping to tank for the first overall pick. James Conner is back as well. The Cards gave up 7 sacks last week, and had a net 17 passing yards with Clayton Tune. Kyler's rushing ability can be a big asset to this offense. This offense is 29th in PPG (16.8) and 26th in YPG.

    • Game Outlook

      • Am I crazy or do I really think the books are begging us to bet the Falcons? I really cannot see this any other way. Kyler Murray is playing for his job and Gannon is a first year head coach wanting to prove that he belongs and injuries derailed his season. I smell an upset.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Kyler Murray and Jonnu Smith. Kyler Murray is back and his legs are a factor. Dobbs went 6-2 over Kyler's rush line of 23.5 yards, and just ran for 66 yards versus this Falcons team. Next, Jonnu Smith receiving yards line is at 28.5. He has gone over in 6 of 8 games this year, and Heinicke just leaned on him last week for 100 yards.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Cardinals Alt spread +3.5 (-154). I really think the Cards keep this close or win, so I will buy the field goal hook and ride with them.


  • Detroit Lions (-3) vs Los Angeles Chargers O/U 48.5

    • Injuries

      • DET Lions

        • DE Levi Onwuzurike (hip): DOUBTFUL

        • WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (ribs): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Dan Skipper (ribs): QUESTIONABLE

        • OG Halapoulivaati Vaitai (back): OUT

      • LAC Chargers

        • None

    • Team Outlooks

      • DET Lions

        • This Lions team is 6-2 and coming off a bye week. Jared Goff is an MVP candidate, averaging over 270 yards per game. Amon Ra is averaging 8.1 catches a game for 95 YPG. Sam LaPorta is having a breakout rookie year with 5.4 catches a game for 54.3 YPG. They have scored 21+ points in 5 of 8 games and are averaging 25.8 PPG. As for defense, CB Jerry Jacobs is having All-Pro season. In addition, they are top 10 in pressure rates, although Aidan Hutchinson has not had a sack in the last 3 games.

      • LAC Chargers

        • This Chargers team is 4-4 and coming off a win versus the Jets. Their defense led them to victory in that game with 8 sacks and 3 fumble recoveries. They are a top 5 defense vs the run this year. Herbert took 5 sacks last week, Austin Ekeler ran for 2 TDs, Keenan Allen had 8 catches for 77 yards.

    • Game Outlook

      • Look, the Lions are a very dominant team, and the Chargers have showed they can stop the run, but not the pass. Goff and Amon-Ra should have a field day against these corners. I love the Lions in this spot.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game areJared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Goff has 3 games against weak pass defenses. In all 3 games, he covered to over 1.5 passing TDs. In addition, Amon-Ra's line is at 83.5 receiving yards. He is 5-2 in covering this line, and LAC does not have someone to cover him strongly.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be DET Lions Alt line -2.5 (-129). I love the Lions in this spot, but I will buy the hook and count of Goff.


  • New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys (-17.5) O/U 38.5

    • Injuries

      • NYG Giants

        • CB Adoree’ Jackson (concussion, neck): OUT

        • OT Evan Neal (ankle): OUT

        • RB Deon Jackson (concussion): OUT

        • WR Parris Campbell (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • RB Jashaun Corbin (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • G Mark Glowinski (personal): QUESTIONABLE

        • OLB Azeez Ojulari (ankle): QUESTIONABLE

      • DAL Cowboys

        • WR KaVontae Turpin (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • NYG Giants

        • This Giants team is 2-7 and coming off a loss to the Raiders. Look, I want to write about this team but I can't. Tommy DeVito is awful. NYG will tank the rest of the season. Saquon will touch the ball 35-40 times a game till his ankle gives out. 17.5 is so high, but we need to remember, the Cowboys beat them fully healthy 40-0

      • DAL Cowboys

        • This Cowboys team is 5-3 and coming off a loss to the Eagles. They have a cake walk here and it will be hard to bet because I see so many players getting benched in the second half.

    • Game Outlook

      • In reality, 17.5 is so high. But the Cowboys have no reasons to lose this game in a million years.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Tommy DeVito. Fade him, find any value you can and fade.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Giants Team Total Under 10.5 (-148). They put up 0 last time fully healthy and they put up 6 points against the Raiders.


  • Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks (-6) O/U 44.5

    • Injuries

      • WSH Commanders

        • WR Curtis Samuel (toe): QUESTIONABLE

      • SEA Seahawks

        • OG Anthony Bradford (personal matter): OUT

        • LB Jordyn Brooks (hamstring): QUESTIONABLE

        • RB DeeJay Dallas (shoulder): QUESTIONABLE

        • RB Kenny McIntosh (knee): QUESTIONABLE

        • TE Colby Parkinson (biceps): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • WSH Commanders

        • This Commanders team is 4-5 and coming off a win versus the Patriots. Offensively, there is 3 players to discuss. Sam Howell has been great, and he has 325+ passing yards 3 times this year. Brian Robinson Jr. has been a strong runner and we saw what the Ravens did to them last week on the ground. Terry McLaurin has 60+ receiving yards in 5 of the last 6 games. Defensively, WSH is bottom 7 in QBR allowed and YPC allowed. They had 0 sacks last week without Chase Young or Montez Sweat. Their CBs have been gashed all year.

      • SEA Seahawks

        • This Seahawks team is 5-3 and coming off a loss to the Ravens. Geno Smith has 3 really bad games this year, but they all came against top 10 QBR allowed defenses. WSH is bottom 7. JSN has had 4 games in a row of good production.

    • Game Outlook

      • The Seahawks are great against bad defenses and that is what WSH is. But Sam Howell can keep this game competitive. You can dive deep in this game and find some great props.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are JSN and Terry McLaurin. I noted them above.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Terry McLaurin Over 59.5 receiving yards (-115). As stated, he has 60+ in 5 of the last 6 and they should have to throw to stay in this game.


8pm SNF

  • New York Jets (-1) vs Las Vegas Raiders O/U 36

    • Injuries

      • NY Jets

        • OT Duane Brown (hip): OUT

        • LB Chazz Surratt (ankle): OUT

        • OT Billy Turner (finger): OUT

      • LV Raiders

        • FB Jakob Johnson (Concussion): QUESTIONABLE

        • OT Kolton Miller (shoulder): DOUBTFUL

        • CB Marcus Peters (knee): QUESTIONABLE

    • Team Outlooks

      • NY Jets

        • This Jets team is 4-4 and coming off a loss to the Chargers. They gave up 8 sacks last week. They had 3 fumbles. The defense had 5 sacks held LAC to 84 rush yards and under 200 passing yards. But, they still have Zach Wilson

      • LV Raiders

        • This Raiders team is 4-5 and coming off a win versus the Giants. They had 8 sacks last week. They had 3 rushing TDs and 125 rush yards. Davante Adams has 5 straight games under 60 yards receiving and 6 straight games without a TD. Now he draws Sauce Gardner.

    • Game Outlook

      • Aidan O'Connell vs Zach Wilson on SNF. Ughhh, what are we doing NFL. I lean the Raiders here being at home, but I will not being putting a unit on this game.

    • Key Players

      • They key players for this game are Sauce Gardner and Maxx Crosby. These are weak QBs and these two All-Pro defenders will wreck havoc in this game.

    • Best Bet

      • My best bet for this game will be Aidan O'Connell Over 0.5 INTs (-145). Young kid going against a great pass defense. I think yes.



Hardee Picks Parlay

  • Leg 1

    • HOU Dalton Schultz Over 49.5 REC yards

  • Leg 2

    • JAX Josh Allen Over 0.25 Sacks

  • Leg 3

    • BAL Mark Andrew Over 46.5 REC yards

  • Leg 4

    • MIN TJ Hockenson Over 49.5 REC yards

+1121 boosted on Draft Kings to +1682

Let's eat and let me know if you are riding with us!



Hardee Picks Sprinkle Plays

  • These are little sprinkles. Nothing more than 0.25 units.

    • TEN DeAndre Hopkins 2+ TDs (+1400)

    • HOU Tank Dell 100+ REC yards (+390)

    • TEN Will Levis 275+ Passing yards (+340)

    • NO Saints SGP Saints -2.5, Olave 80+ REC yards, Kamara 40+ REC yards (+1100)

50 views0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Comments


bottom of page