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Writer's pictureLee (The Plug) Mello

Texans vs Colts Plugs Prediction - NFL Picks 1/6/24

( Pic - TheOutletSV.com )

- Indianapolis Colts (9-7) vs Houston Texans (9-7)

- Game Info: Saturday, January 6, 2024 at 8:15 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)


📊 Betting Odds: Indianapolis Colts +1.5 / Houston Texans -1.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5


The SV Game Preview

(Pic - TheOutLetSV.com )

  • Today we have The Houston Texans & Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana for A NFL Showdown! Houston has alternated wins and losses over their last seven games, while Indianapolis has also alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and give a prediction.

  • Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colts rank 28th in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game this season (5.7).

  • The Colts rank 27th in the NFL in points allowed per game this season (24.5).

  • The Texans rank T3rd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game this season (88.5).

  • The Texans rank 3rd in the NFL in average kickoff return (26.5 yards) this season.


The Texans Team Preview

( Pic - ESPN.com )

  • The Houston Texans are 9-7 this year after they were beat up by the Titans by a score of 26-3 in their last game. Houston scored the first 20 points in this game and they were able to cruise to the easy victory. The Texans out gained Tennessee by a total of 312-187 and held them to only 1-12 on third downs. Houston lost to Cleveland by a score of 36-22 in the game prior to Tennessee, but did defeat the Titans again by a score of 19-16 before that. The Texans offense is scoring 22.1 points per game with 245.4 passing yards per game and 99.2 rushing yards per game. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 3,844 yards, 21 touchdowns, and five interceptions for the Texans this season. Devin Singletary has rushed for 835 yards and three touchdowns, while Nico Collins has caught 71 passes for 1,102 yards and seven scores. The Houston defense is giving up 20.9 points against per game this year. Can they grab a dub here!?

  • Houston Texans Team Facts

  • The Texans have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a home win.

  • The Texans have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.

  • The favorites have won the first half in six of the Texans' last seven games.

  • The Texans have lost the first quarter in each of their last two January games as favorites.

  • Each of the Texans' last three games against AFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

  • Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Devin Singletary has recorded 65+ rushing yards in each of the Texans' last three road games against AFC opponents.

  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 280+ passing yards in three of his four previous appearances against AFC South opponents.

  • Tank Dell has scored a touchdown in each of his three previous appearances against AFC South opponents.

  • Tank Dell has recorded 50+ receiving yards in four of his last five appearances.

  • Davis Mills has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Texans' last three January games against AFC South opponents.

  • Davis Mills has thrown three touchdowns in two of the Texans' last three games in January.

  • Jimmie Ward is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).


The Colts Game Preview

( Pic - ESPN.com )

  • The Indianapolis Colts are 9-7 this season after they defeated the Raiders by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Indianapolis led 14-3 at halftime, but their lead was cut to 14-10, before they were able to pull away for the win. The Colts were out gained by a total of 370-349 and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Indianapolis lost to Atlanta by a score of 29-10 prior to Las Vegas, but did defeat Pittsburgh by a score of 30-13 before that. The Indianapolis offense is averaging 23.6 points per game with 220.8 passing yards per game and 114.5 rushing yards per game. Gardner Minshew has thrown for 3,164 yards, 15 touchdowns, and nine interceptions for the Colts this season. Zack Moss (questionable) has rushed for 764 yards and five touchdowns, while Michael Pittman Jr. has caught 104 passes for 1,108 yards and four scores. The Indianapolis defense is giving up 24.5 points against per game this season.

  • Indianapolis Colts Team Facts

  • The Colts have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.

  • The Colts have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win.

  • The Colts have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 games against the Texans.

  • The Colts have won the first quarter in three of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.

  • The Colts have lost the first half in each of their last five games in January.

  • Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

  • Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five appearances following a win.

  • Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 84+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances following a win.

  • Jonathan Taylor has recorded 75+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances at Lucas Oil Stadium.

  • Gardner Minshew II has recorded 240+ passing yards in three of the Colts' last four games following a win.

  • Gardner Minshew II has recorded 23+ completions in three of his four previous appearances against the Texans.

  • Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous appearances against the Texans.

  • Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four home appearances.

  • Julian Blackmon is just three away from 10 career interceptions.


The Plugs Game Prediction

💎 HOUSTON TEXANS ML -115

  • These two teams come into this game in a three way tie for first place in the AFC South, Jacksonville is currently 9-7 as well. The winner of this game will lock up a playoff spot and possibly the division title, so this is a huge game for both teams today. Houston has been one of the more entertaining teams to watch this season, as they have a very strong passing attack with Stroud at quarterback. The Texans are 3-4 on the road, while Indianapolis is 4-4 at home. I think Stroud is going to be the difference in this game. We have seen him play very well this season and I think he is going to have another strong performance here. Take the Texans on the road. 


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