Maximize Your NFL Betting Profits with Top Touchdown Props!
- Lee Shipley
- Sep 13
- 3 min read
Updated: Sep 26
Looking to place some bets on tomorrow's NFL games? We've got you covered! Here are our top touchdown prop recommendations, backed by the AI-powered research of Pine Sports “JaXon”. The team at The OutLet Sports Ventures is bringing you the best free picks all year long by combining human expertise with cutting-edge artificial intelligence.
Today’s Top NFL Touchdown Player Props!
Javonte Williams (Dallas Cowboys) - Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Game: New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Odds: +120
Javonte Williams is shaping up to be a key red-zone threat for the Cowboys. In Week 1, he looked impressive, scoring two touchdowns against a formidable Eagles defense. His role as the primary short-yardage and goal-line back is well-established. He is expected to get plenty of opportunities near the end zone. This week, he faces a New York Giants run defense that struggled significantly in Week 1. They were described as "putrid," ranking 30th in both success rate against the rush and rush EPA. Williams converted two of his three red-zone carries last week. With teammate Miles Sanders fumbling, Williams' role could be even more solidified. This matchup presents a clear path for Williams to find the end zone again.
D’Andre Swift (Chicago Bears) - Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Game: Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Odds: +145
D'Andre Swift is poised for a strong performance against his former team. In Week 1, he played 81% of the Bears' snaps and handled their only red-zone carry. This highlights his crucial role in the offense. Despite playing on a challenging surface last week, his involvement was high. The fast track indoors at Ford Field should enhance his explosiveness. The Detroit Lions run defense showed vulnerabilities in Week 1, ranking 26th in success rate and 22nd in EPA per rush. Given Swift's significant usage and the Lions' struggles against the run, he has an excellent chance to score a touchdown in this matchup.
Dalton Schultz (Houston Texans) - Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Houston Texans
Odds: +240
Dalton Schultz has a highly favorable setup this week in an indoor home game against a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense. They struggled to contain tight ends in Week 1, specifically against Kyle Pitts. Schultz tied for the team lead in targets last week, even though he only played 54% of snaps and ran a route on 60% of dropbacks. The Texans' new offensive coordinator, Nick Caley, may need to adjust the team's 3-WR sets. These lacked significant pass-catching punch, potentially leading to more involvement for Schultz. Furthermore, with fellow tight end Cade Stover out due to a fractured foot, Schultz has a clear path to increased snaps and targets, especially in the red zone.
Today’s Longshot Touchdown Props!
Jonnu Smith (Pittsburgh Steelers) - Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Prop: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Odds: +380
Book: DraftKings
📊 Analysis:
Jonnu Smith made an immediate impact in his Steelers debut. He stepped into the TE1 role with a 66% snap share and ran a route on 53% of dropbacks. He finished Week 1 with five catches and a touchdown, showcasing his red-zone potential. The Steelers will face the Seattle Seahawks, a team that had difficulty containing tight ends in Week 1. George Kittle, despite an early exit, managed four catches and a touchdown against Seattle. The 49ers ultimately had two tight end scores in that game. Smith's prominent role in the Steelers' passing game, especially near the goal line, combined with Seattle's recent struggles against tight ends, makes him a strong longshot candidate.
Kayshon Boutte (New England Patriots) - Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Prop: Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Odds: +330
📊 Analysis:
Kayshon Boutte had a breakout performance in Week 1. He racked up 103 yards on six catches and led the Patriots with eight targets. He appears to be establishing himself as a primary receiving option for New England. The Patriots are playing the Miami Dolphins, who are dealing with significant issues in their secondary. Four defensive backs are already ruled out, and three more were listed as DNPs earlier in the week. This depleted secondary creates a favorable matchup for Boutte, positioning him as a WR1 in a game where the Patriots might need to throw to keep pace. His strong Week 1 usage and the Dolphins' defensive vulnerabilities make him an attractive longshot to find the end zone.
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