Today’s NFL Best Bets: Chiefs vs Commanders Prediction 10/27/25
- Lee Shipley
- 7 days ago
- 4 min read
Washington Commanders (3-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4-3)
October 27, 2025 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -12.5; Over/Under: 46.5
Hey football fans, get ready for a prime-time clash! This Monday, October 27th, we're heading to the loudest stadium in the world—Arrowhead—where the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Washington Commanders for a Week 8 showdown under the lights. It's time to break down this Monday Night Football matchup and figure out who has the edge. Let's dive right into our prediction!
Matchup/League Facts
Chiefs – only team with 3+ players to record 200+ rushing yards this season (Patrick Mahomes, Kareem Hunt, Isiah Pacheco), heading into Week 8.
Heading into Week 8, the Chiefs have scored three or more touchdowns in four consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the league.
Commanders – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
Commanders – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 8.
The Kansas City Chiefs
Team Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs are rolling into Monday night with a 4-3 record, thanks to a huge 31-0 shutout win over Las Vegas in their last game—a total blowout where their offense racked up 434 yards to the Raiders 95. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes was sharp, tossing for 286 yards and three touchdowns, while the defense made sure the other team never even got close to scoring. KC is hitting their stride, having won four out of their last five, and they're averaging a solid 26.6 points per game while the defense is holding opponents to under 18 points a contest. They look like a tough team to beat right now!
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop
Marquise Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six October home appearances.
Patrick Mahomes has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Chiefs’ last seven Monday games.
Patrick Mahomes has recorded 286+ passing yards in six of the Chiefs’ last seven October home games.
Marquise Brown has recorded 25+ receiving yards in each of his 10 previous regular season appearances against NFC East opponents.
Kareem Hunt has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 10 previous regular season appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against NFC opponents.
Kareem Hunt has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous Monday appearances.
Heading into Week 8, Tyquan Thornton ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (22.2) this season.
The Washington Commanders Team Preview
It hasn't been the greatest stretch for the Washington Commanders lately. They're sitting at 3-4 after getting absolutely routed by Dallas, 44-22, in their last game—they were ahead early, but the Cowboys took over big-time. Before that loss, they also fell to Chicago but did manage a win against the Chargers. Overall, they've dropped three of their last four and are currently in third place in the NFC East. Their offense averages about 25.7 points per game, splitting it fairly evenly between passing and rushing, but their defense gives up just slightly less. Adding to their woes, Jayden Daniels is hurt, so we'll be seeing Marcus Mariota under center for the next game. They might also be without receiver Deebo Samuel, who's been a solid contributor this season.
The Commanders Player Prop
Deebo Samuel has scored a touchdown in each of his last four road appearances.
Deebo Samuel has recorded 13+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances following a loss.
Deebo Samuel has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three road appearances.
Terry McLaurin has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his last seven October appearances.
Deebo Samuel has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three October appearances with his team as an underdog.
Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Commanders as underdogs.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt has four rushing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2024).
We Bet! We Win! We Repeat!
The Chiefs vs Commanders Game Prediction
The Free Pick: Over 46.5
Look, the Commanders are walking into a buzzsaw. They’ve dropped three of their last four, they’re on the road in a brutal environment, and their starting QB is out. Their defense has been a sieve lately, giving up 44, 25, 10, and 34 points in their last four contests. Now they get the KC offense, which has been heating up, hitting 30-plus points in three of their last four games. The Chiefs are getting healthier and starting to steamroll teams, so expect them to hang a huge number.
That said, Washington manages to put up points—they’ve hit the 17-20 range in four of their last five—even in losses. So, while KC goes off, the Commanders should chip in enough to cash the Over. Bet the Over on this one.
Comments