Today’s Top MLB Home Run Props 7/7/25
- Lee Shipley
- 2 days ago
- 2 min read
Get ready to dive into today's best MLB home run prop bets. We've dug deep into recent performance, sweet matchups, and the latest betting odds to bring you some killer picks. And guess what? Each one comes with a detailed breakdown and a direct link to get your bet in! We're not like those other "top" sites – The Outlet Sports Ventures is here to give you the top free picks and game info across all sports, because we're simply different. We've even teamed up with Pine Sports AI, leveraging their awesome JaXon platform to churn through the latest data and models. That's how we sniff out those high-value bets, like the home run props we're hyped to share with you today!
The Trevor Story Bomb (Boston Red Sox)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +420
Best Book: FanDuel
Analysis:
Trevor Story is in a prime spot against Rockies’ lefty Austin Gomber, who has struggled mightily this season with a 5.49 ERA and four home runs allowed in just 16 innings against right-handed hitters. Story has been red-hot, slashing .480/.500/.875 with three home runs in his last seven games. Additionally, he has a strong .776 OPS against left-handed pitching this season, making this a perfect matchup for him to go deep.
The Kyle Stowers Bomb (Miami Marlins)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +350
Best Book: FanDuel
Analysis:
Kyle Stowers has been on a power surge, hitting five home runs in his last 12 games. He faces Reds’ righty Brady Singer, who has allowed 10 home runs this season and has a 4.36 ERA. Stowers has hit all 16 of his home runs this season against right-handed pitching, and Great American Ball Park is the most homer-friendly venue in MLB. This matchup sets up perfectly for Stowers to continue his hot streak.
The Will Smith Bomb
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +562
Best Book: Pinnacle
Analysis:
Will SmithWill Smith has been consistent at the plate, hitting the over on his home run prop in 60% of his last five games. He faces Brewers’ pitching, which has struggled to contain power hitters. Smith’s ability to hit for power, combined with Milwaukee’s bullpen struggles, makes him a solid pick for a home run tonight.
The Riley Greene Bomb (Detroit Tigers)
Odds to Hit a Home Run: +506
Best Book: Pinnacle
Analysis:
Riley Greene has shown flashes of power recently, hitting home runs in 40% of his last 10 games. He faces Shane Baz of the Rays, who has been inconsistent in his starts. Greene’s ability to capitalize on mistakes and his recent form make him a strong value play at these odds.
The Honorable Mentions!
Ketel Marte (Arizona Diamondbacks)
Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
Odds: +450 at Pinnacle
Michael Conforto (Los Angeles Dodgers)
Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Odds: +599 at Pinnacle
Corey Seager (Texas Rangers)
Matchup: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Odds: +300 at ESPN Bet
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