Today’s Top MLB Homerun Props For 5/11/25
- Lee Shipley
- 12 hours ago
- 2 min read
Welcome back to The Outlet SV! Yesterday was not the best day for homers in the MLB but that won’t last long in this league! Hope you are ready for some fresh long-ball predictions? For May 12, 2025, we're highlighting a new crop of MLB players with serious home run potential. Each pick is backed by detailed analysis, and we've included direct betting links to get you in the game. All the data driving these insights? That's powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon. Let's find some dingers!
The Kerry Carpenter Bomb (Detroit Tigers)
Odds: +525
Book: ESPN Bet
Analysis: Carpenter has shown flashes of power with a 40% hit rate over his last 10 games. At home, his over-hit percentage is 22.22%, and his ability to elevate the ball against Boston's pitching staff makes him an intriguing value pick.
The Trent Grisham Bomb (New York Yankees)
Odds: +346
Book: Pinnacle
Analysis: Grisham has hit 10 home runs this season and has a 26.67% over-hit rate on the road. His recent form and matchup against a vulnerable Mariners pitching staff make him a solid secondary option.
The Heliot Ramos Bomb
(San Francisco Giants)
Odds: +750
Book: FanDuel
Analysis: Ramos has a 33.33% over-hit rate against the Diamondbacks in past matchups. While his overall season numbers are modest, his history against this opponent makes him a high-upside pick.
1. Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox)
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
2. Heliot Ramos (San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks)
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)
3. Trent Grisham (New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners)
Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)