Today’s Top NFL Player Props: Chiefs vs. Chargers 9/5/25
- Lee Shipley
- Sep 5
- 3 min read
Ready to get in on the action? We crushed it yesterday, and we're ready to do it again! Today, we're diving into the top player props for the AFC West showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Chargers, live from São Paulo, Brazil. This game is gonna be awesome, and with all our data provided by pinesports AI JaXon, we're simply betting unfair! Here are my top three picks for the game.
Today’s Top NFL Player Props!
Najee Harris (Chargers) - Rushing Attempts: Over 5.5
💰 Recommendation:
I'm taking theOver 5.5 Rushing AttemptsforNajee Harris
Line: 5.5
Odds: -155
Book: Cesar’s
📊 Analysis:
Najee Harrisis poised for a significant role in the Chargers' ground game this season. The data strongly supports the over on his rushing attempts. He has consistently hit the over on this line, doing so in 100% of his last 20 games. His average rushing attempts over the last five games stand at 9.2, and over the last 20 games, it's an impressive 15.35. For the 2024 season, he's averaged 15.5 carries per game, ranking him 7th in the league.
📰 News Narrative:
Harris was a key free-agent addition for the Chargers, brought in to add power to their rushing attack. News indicates he's fully healthy after missing preseason with an eye injury and is listed as a starter alongside rookie Omarion Hampton, signaling a clear two-headed backfield approach. This commitment to the run game under Jim Harbaugh, who emphasizes a "ground and pound" scheme, further solidifies Harris's expected volume.
Ladd McConkey (Chargers) - Receiving Yards: Over 72.5
💰 Recommendation:
I'm backing theOver 72.5 Receiving YardsforLadd McConkey
Line: 72.5
Odds: +100
Book: Caesars
📊 Analysis:
Ladd McConkeyemerged as a breakout star in his rookie season, and the numbers suggest he's ready to continue that trajectory. He has hit the over on this line in 80% of his last five games, averaging 106.2 receiving yards during that span. Over his last 10 games, he's averaged 97.0 yards, hitting the over 70% of the time. In the 2024 season, McConkey accumulated 1149 total receiving yards, averaging 71.8 yards per game, which ranks him 9th in the league.
📰 News Narrative:
McConkey is highlighted as a "breakout name" in the Chargers' passing game, having built a strong connection with Justin Herbert. He even scored a touchdown against the Chiefs in their last matchup. With the Chiefs' secondary expected to have their hands full, McConkey's role as a featured option in the Chargers' offense makes this over particularly appealing.
Justin Herbert (Chargers) - Interceptions: Under 0.5
The
💰 Recommendation:
I'm going with theUnder 0.5 Interceptionsfor Justin Herbert.
Line: 0.5
Odds: -130
Book: BetMGM
b n Analysis:
Justin Herbert has shown remarkable improvement in ball security, making the under on his interceptions a strong play. He has stayed under this line in 80% of his last 10 games and an impressive 86.67% of his last 15 games. For the 2024 season, Herbert averaged just 0.18 interceptions per game, with only 3 total interceptions, which is significantly below the 0.5 line.
📰 News Narrative:
Herbert made huge strides in efficiency last season, throwing the lowest number of interceptions in his five-year career. He also posted personal bests in QB rating and completion percentage, indicating a more disciplined and accurate approach to his passing. This improved decision-making and reduced turnover rate make the under a confident pick.
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