Today’s Top NFL Touchdown Props for 10/5/25
- Lee Shipley
- 30 minutes ago
- 3 min read
Welcome Back to the Top Rated NFL Touchdown Article in the business! We Bring you the best every week and heading into Week 5 will be no different! This week is shaping up to be a high-scoring slate, and the Anytime Touchdown Scorer (ATDS) market offers some fantastic opportunities. We have teamed up with JaXon and analyzed the data from the Pine Sports models, focusing on players with high recent hit rates, elite red zone usage, and favorable defensive matchups to find you the best TD Props for This Weeks Games!
Here are my five best ATTD Prop recommendations for tomorrow's games:
1. Jahmyr Gibbs (Detroit Lions) Over 0.5 Touchdowns
Game: Detroit Lions @ Cincinnati Bengals
Line: Over 0.5 TDs
Odds: -230 DraftKings
Gibbs is in a prime spot to find the end zone against a Cincinnati Bengals defense that ranks 30th in the league against his position. This is one of the weakest matchups available on the slate.
Recent Performance: Gibbs has been highly consistent, hitting the over in 80.0%of his last 5, 10, and 15 games. He has scored 4 rushing touchdowns this season, ranking 4th among running backs.
Red Zone Dominance: He is heavily involved near the goal line, ranking 2nd in the league in Redzone Carries per game (4.8) and 3rd in Redzone Targets per game (1.2). His high volume of touches inside the 10-yard line makes him a near-lock for scoring opportunities.
2. James Cook (Buffalo Bills) Over 0.5 Touchdowns
Game: New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Line: Over 0.5 TDs
Odds: -186 BetRivers
Cook has been an absolute touchdown machine this season, leading the league in rushing touchdowns. His usage near the goal line is elite, and he has a perfect hit rate recently.
Recent Performance: Cook has hit the over in 100.0% of his last 5 games. He has scored 5 rushing touchdowns this season, ranking 1st in the NFL.
Goal Line Usage: He ranks 1st in the league in carries inside the 5-yard line (5 total) and 2nd in carries inside the 10-yard line (8 total). When the Bills get close, Cook is the primary option.
Matchup History: In two games against the Patriots in 2024, Cook averaged 1.5 touchdowns per game, showing a strong history against this opponent.
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3. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) Over 0.5 Touchdowns
Game: Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Over 0.5 TDs
Odds: -135 DraftKings
Jalen Hurts remains one of the most reliable touchdown scorers in the league due to his rushing prowess near the goal line. He is the Eagles' most consistent red zone threat.
Recent Performance: Hurts has hit the over in 75.0% of his games this season (3 of 4). He has 4 rushing touchdowns, ranking 1st among quarterbacks.
Goal Line Usage: Hurts leads all quarterbacks in every key rushing metric near the goal line this season: 41 total carries, 12 red zone carries, 6 carries inside the 10, and 5 carries inside the 5.
Home Field Advantage: When playing at home this season, Hurts has been even more effective, averaging 1.5 touchdowns per game (100.0% hit rate in 2 home games).
4. Saquon Barkley (Philadelphia Eagles) Over 0.5 Touchdowns
Game: Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Over 0.5 TDs
Odds: -139 BetRivers
While Hurts takes some goal-line carries, Barkley is still heavily utilized and has been highly effective in his new offense. The Eagles' offense is potent enough to support multiple scorers.
Recent Performance: Barkley has hit the over in 75.0% of his games this season (3 of 4). He has 3 rushing touchdowns and ranks 3rd in the league in total carries (77).
Goal Line Usage: He ranks 2nd in the league in carries inside the 10-yard line (10 total), demonstrating that he is a key part of the Eagles' goal-line plan, even with Hurts' involvement.
Matchup: The Broncos defense ranks 9th against the position, but Barkley's high volume and the Eagles' overall offensive efficiency should overcome this slightly tougher matchup.
5. Courtland Sutton (Denver Broncos) Over 0.5 Touchdowns
Game: Denver Broncos @ Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Over 0.5 TDs
Odds: +185 Caesars
This is a high-value pick offering excellent plus-money odds for a player who has been scoring consistently this season.
Recent Performance: Sutton has hit the over in 75.0% of his games this season (3 of 4) and 80.0% of his last 5 games. He leads the Broncos with 3 receiving touchdowns.
Value: The +185 odds provide significant value given his recent scoring frequency. While the Eagles defense ranks 10th against the position, Sutton is the clear top receiving threat for the Broncos, and they will need to throw to keep up with Philadelphia's offense.
Red Zone Focus: Sutton is a primary target when the Broncos get close, and his ability to convert those opportunities makes this a strong underdog play.
