Todays Top 3 Homerun Props for 4/22/25
- Lee Shipley
- Apr 22
- 2 min read
Tired of just watching dingers fly? Want to turn those towering blasts into cold, hard cash? You've landed in the right spot. Today, April 22nd, 2025, we're not just listing home run prop bets; we're handing you the keys to potential payouts. Forget random guesses – we've dug deep into the matchups, crunched the slugging numbers, and even peeked at the ballpark weather to bring you the smartest long-ball picks of the day. And the best part? We've laid out the reasoning behind each call and even included a direct link to place your bet. Ready to step up to the plate and cash in on some homers?
The Rowdy Tellez Bomb! (Seattle Mariners)
Odds: Over 0.5 HR (+800) at ESPN Bet
Analysis:
Tellez has a 60% over-hit rate in his last 5 games and a 42.86% rate as a visitor in 2025.
While his season-long numbers are modest, his recent form and the matchup against Boston’s pitching staff provide upside.
The odds offer significant value for a player with his power potential.
The Fernando Tatis Jr. Bomb! (San Diego Padres)
Odds: Over 0.5 HR (+350) at FanDuel
Analysis:
Tatis has a 50% over-hit rate in his last 10 games, showcasing his power potential.
Detroit’s Comerica Park is not traditionally homer-friendly, but Tatis’ ability to generate power against weaker pitching makes him a strong candidate.
Detroit’s pitching staff has struggled with home run prevention, which could work in Tatis’ favor.
The Carson Kelly Bomb! (Chicago Cubs)
Odds: Over 0.5 HR (+600) at FanDuel
Analysis:
Kelly has a 40% over-hit rate in his last 5 games and a 50% hit rate against the Dodgers in 2025 (1 HR in 2 games).
Wrigley Field’s wind conditions can often favor hitters, and Kelly’s power numbers make him a strong candidate to go deep.
Summary of Confidence Ratings
Rowdy Tellez: ⭐⭐ (Low Confidence)
Carson Kelly: ⭐⭐⭐ (Medium Confidence)
Fernando Tatis Jr.: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High Confidence)
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