Top DINGERZ MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Today!
- Lee Shipley
- Jul 1
- 3 min read
Updated: 1 day ago
Are you looking to add some extra excitement to today's MLB games? We've got you covered with the top home run prop bets, and get this, all our data is powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon! We’ve crunched the numbers, digging into slugging percentages, head-to-head batter vs. pitcher history, and a whole lot of other detailed analysis to bring you our best picks. Plus, we’ve even included handy betting links for each recommendation to make it super easy for you to get in on the action. Let's go hit some dingers!
The Christian Yelich Bomb (Milwaukee Brewers)
Prop Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +650
Book: BetMGM
Analysis:
Recent Performance: Yelich has hit 2 home runs in his last 20 games. This gives him a 10% hit rate over this span. His season-long home run rate stands at 17.72%, with a total of 14 home runs over 79 games.
Vs. Mets Pitching: Yelich has faced the Mets four times in 2024. He managed to hit 2 home runs, achieving a 50% hit rate. This suggests he has success against their pitching.
Road Performance: On the road, Yelich recorded 7 home runs in 39 games, matching his overall season average at 17.95%.
Recommendation: Yelich’s odds of +650 show good value. His historical success against the Mets and hitting ability make this an appealing pick.
The Ozzie Albies Bomb (Atlanta Braves)
Prop Line: Over 0.5 Home Runs
Odds: +625
Book: BetMGM
Analysis:
Recent Performance: Albies has not hit a home run in his last 20 games. His hit rate stands at 0%, with a season-long home run rate of 7.23%. This translates to 6 home runs in 83 games.
Home Field Factor: At home, Albies has only hit 1 home run in 40 games, giving him a 2.5% hit rate.
Matchup Context: The Angels' pitching staff limits power hitting effectively. Albies’ recent struggles make this bet a longshot.
Recommendation: While the +625 odds are tempting, data does not support Albies hitting a home run today. This is a high-risk, low-reward bet.
The Eugenio Suárez Bomb (Arizona Diamondbacks)
Slugging Percentage & Trends: Suárez has hit the over on his home run prop in 46.67% of his last 15 games. His season slugging percentage is 0.32. Against the Giants, he has hit 2 home runs in 4 games this season.
Batter vs. Pitcher Matchup: Suárez faces Hayden Birdsong, who has allowed 5 home runs to left-handed batters this season. Suárez’s home power numbers (30.95% hit rate) strengthen his case.
Odds & Recommendation: The over 0.5 home runs is available at +409 on Pinnacle.
The Juan Soto Bomb (New York Mets)
Slugging Percentage & Trends: Soto has hit the over on his home run prop in 40% of his last 10 games. His season slugging percentage is 0.24. His recent form makes him a strong candidate.
Batter vs. Pitcher Matchup: Soto will face Freddy Peralta. He has allowed 8 home runs to left-handed batters this season. Soto can capitalize on mistakes, making him a threat.
Odds & Recommendation: The over 0.5 home runs is available at +389 on Pinnacle.
Today’s Honorable Mentions!
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays)
Odds: Over 0.5 home runs at +475 on BetMGM
Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays vs. Oakland Athletics)
Odds: Over 0.5 home runs at +356 on Pinnacle
Cal Raleigh (Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals)
Odds: Over 0.5 home runs at +255 on BetRivers
This blog post highlights the top home run prop bets for today’s MLB action. From Christian Yelich to Juan Soto, each player has unique metrics that accentuate their hitting capabilities. Betting from this data can spark excitement and potentially fruitful outcomes. Remember to always bet responsibly!
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