Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/10/25
- Lee Shipley
- May 10
- 2 min read
Alright, baseball fans! Get ready for today's MLB action with a laser focus on potential long-ball hitters. This article dives into the top home run prop bets for this Saturday, May 10th, 2025, carefully curated by analyzing recent player performance, key matchups, and the latest odds. You'll find insightful analysis accompanying each pick, along with a direct link to place your bets with ease. All the data powering these predictions comes courtesy of the cutting-edge JaXon AI from Pine Sports, giving you an edge in today's home run hunt.
The Shohei Ohtani Bomb (Los Angeles Dodgers)
Matchup: Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+300) at FanDuel
Analysis: Ohtani has been on fire recently, hitting 4 home runs in his last 6 games. Against the Diamondbacks this season, he has a 100% hit rate for home run props (2-for-2). Arizona's Eduardo Rodriguez has struggled, allowing 7 home runs this season with a 5.92 ERA. Ohtani’s power metrics and recent form make this a strong play.
The Kyle Schwarber Bomb (Philadelphia Phillies)
Matchup: Phillies @ Guardians
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+331) at Pinnacle
Analysis: Schwarber leads the league with 12 home runs and ranks 4th in ISO (.308). He’s in the 97th percentile for expected slugging percentage (xSLG) and has hit 5 home runs in his last 9 games. Cleveland’s Gavin Williams has allowed a 1.50 HR/9 to left-handed hitters, making Schwarber a prime candidate to go deep.
The Aaron Judge Bomb
(New York Yankees)
Matchup: Yankees @ Athletics
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+155) at BetRivers
Analysis: Judge has homered in 4 of his last 7 games and remains one of MLB’s top power hitters. Facing the Athletics’ pitching staff, which has been vulnerable to the long ball, Judge’s elite barrel rate and recent form make him a strong candidate to go deep.
Honorable Mentions
Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Over 0.5 Home Runs (+560) at FanDuel. Buxton has hit 6 home runs at home this season and faces a favorable matchup against the Giants.
Michael Toglia (Colorado Rockies): Over 0.5 Home Runs (+525) at BetMGM. Toglia benefits from Coors Field’s hitter-friendly conditions and has shown power potential.
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