Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/4/25
- Lee Shipley
- May 3
- 2 min read
Here are the top home run prop bets for the MLB games on May 4, 2025, meticulously selected using recent performance trends, insightful matchup analysis, and the latest available odds, all powered by Pine Sports AI. Each recommended prop comes with a detailed breakdown of the contributing factors and a direct betting link to make your wagering experience seamless.
The Kyle Stowers Bomb (Miami Marlins)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+800) at DraftKings
Analysis: Stowers has shown flashes of power, with a 50% hit rate for this prop against the Athletics in 2025. His odds provide significant value, especially against a struggling Oakland pitching staff.
The Alex Bregman Bomb (Boston Red Sox)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+375) at ESPN Bet
Analysis: Bregman is on fire, slashing .331 with eight home runs this season. He has hit three home runs in his last four games and is riding a 12-game hitting streak. Facing Bailey Ober, who has allowed five home runs in six starts, Bregman’s hot streak and Fenway Park’s hitter-friendly conditions make this a high-value bet.
The Aaron Judge Bomb
(New York Yankees)
Odds: Over 0.5 Home Runs (+202) at Pinnacle
Analysis: Judge has been a powerhouse this season, hitting .430 with 10 home runs and a 1.298 OPS. At home, he has a 41.18% hit rate for this prop in 2025. Facing Zack Littell (5.03 ERA), who struggles against right-handed power hitters, Judge is in a prime position to go deep. His recent form and favorable matchup make this a strong pick.
The Confidence Ratings!
Aaron Judge (New York Yankees)
Star Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐½ (4.5/5)
Alex Bregman (Boston Red Sox)
Star Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)
Kyle Stowers (Miami Marlins)
Star Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐️ (4/5)
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