Todays Top MLB Homerun Props for 5/5/25

Get ready for another exciting day of MLB action on May 5, 2025, as we dive into the top home run prop bets poised to deliver some long bombs. While yesterday's selections didn't quite clear the wall, we're dusting ourselves off and stepping back up to the plate with a fresh batch of data-driven picks, all powered by the sharp insights of Pine Sports AI. This article spotlights players with recent hot streaks, advantageous hitter-pitcher matchups, and favorable betting odds. For each recommendation, you'll find a detailed breakdown of the analysis along with a direct link to place your bets with ease.

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The Matt Chapman Bomb (San Francisco Giants)

• Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

• Odds: +450 for Over 0.5 Home Runs at Pinnacle

• Analysis: Chapman has been streaky but effective, with seven home runs this season. He has a history of success against the Cubs' pitching, including two home runs in eight career at-bats against their probable starter. His recent form and the Cubs' pitching struggles make this a high-upside play.

The Luis Robert Jr. Bomb (Chicago White Sox)

• Matchup: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

• Odds: +700 for Over 0.5 Home Runs at ESPN Bet

• Analysis: While Robert’s recent home run numbers are modest, his power potential remains significant. The Royals’ pitching staff has been vulnerable to right-handed power hitters, and Robert could capitalize on this matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino Bomb

(Kansas City Royals)

• Matchup: Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

• Odds: +600 for Over 0.5 Home Runs at ESPN Bet

• Analysis: Pasquantino has been heating up, hitting three home runs in the past week. While his season average is low (.185), his recent surge and the favorable matchup against the White Sox make him a strong candidate. The White Sox pitching staff has struggled against left-handed hitters, and Pasquantino’s power could exploit this weakness.

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The Confidence Ratings!

Matt Chapman (San Francisco Giants)

Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)

Luis Robert Jr. (Chicago White Sox)

Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐ (3/5)

Vinnie Pasquantino (Kansas City Royals)

Confidence Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4/5)