Top Home Run Props for the MLB Today (June 8, 2025)
- Lee Shipley
- 6 days ago
- 2 min read

Tired of just hoping your favorite slugger sends one deep? What if you could actually predict those majestic blasts? Well, today's your lucky day! We're diving into the data, all powered by Pine Sports AI JaXon, to uncover the juiciest home run prop bets for today's MLB games. Forget guesswork – we're talking detailed analysis of pitcher-batter matchups, slugging percentages, and hard-hit rates, all crunched by the power of AI, to give you the inside track on who's most likely to go yard. Get ready to swing for the fences with confidence!
The Cal Raleigh Bomb (Seattle Mariners)

Matchup Details: Facing Tyler Anderson (LHP), who has allowed 22 hits and 3 home runs in 109 plate appearances against the Mariners' current roster. Raleigh has a solid history against Anderson, with 2 hits (including a home run) in 13 at-bats.
Key Stats:
Last 10 games: 50% hit rate for home runs.
Season: 33.33% hit rate for home runs (21 HRs in 63 games).
At this location: 33.33% hit rate for home runs in 30 games.
Hard-hit rate: Consistently high against left-handed pitching.
Odds:
Over 0.5 HRs: +240 at BetMGM.
Recommendation: Raleigh’s power against lefties and Anderson’s vulnerability make this a strong value play. He is the Hottest hitter in the MLB right now!
The George Springer Bomb (Toronto Blue Jays)

Matchup Details: Springer faces Joe Ryan (RHP), who has allowed 17 hits in 66 plate appearances against the Blue Jays' current roster. Springer has 3 hits in 6 at-bats against Ryan, including a double.
Key Stats:
Last 5 games: 40% hit rate for home runs.
Season: 13.56% hit rate for home runs (8 HRs in 59 games).
Against the Twins in 2025: 100% hit rate for home runs (2 HRs in 2 games).
Odds:
Over 0.5 HRs: +750 at DraftKings.
Recommendation: Springer’s success against Ryan and his recent power surge make this a high-upside pick.
The Junior Caminero Bomb (Tampa Bay Rays)

Matchup Details: Caminero faces Anthony Veneziano (LHP), who has limited MLB experience and has struggled with hard-hit balls (103.5 mph average exit velocity in limited appearances).
Key Stats:
Last 10 games: 50% hit rate for home runs.
Season: 23.33% hit rate for home runs (14 HRs in 60 games).
At home: 26.83% hit rate for home runs in 41 games.
Odds:
Over 0.5 HRs: +330 at FanDuel.
Recommendation: With favorable park factors and a vulnerable opposing pitcher, Caminero is a strong candidate to go deep.

The Honorable Mentions!
Tim Elko (Chicago White Sox)
Over 0.5 HRs: +600 at FanDuel.
Recommendation: Elko’s power at home and Lorenzen’s struggles with the long ball make this a solid value bet.
Matt Wallner (Minnesota Twins)
Over 0.5 HRs: +260 at BetMGM.
Recommendation: Wallner’s power potential and Francis’ susceptibility to home runs make this a worthwhile play.
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